South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x197e72abbb8687b2c8a30f96ac43c9d0cc375ff962b1a62a837426f4500de95e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,589$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 35c | 1,721$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.12 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 14c | 1,239$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.4 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 13c | 1,221$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.43 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 68c | 1,198$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.24 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa598…aa4fbacked Under | 8c | 1,149$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Over | 31c | 951.05$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.23 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 32c | 946.92$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.91 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 866.85$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.72 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 68c | 800$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 68c | 734.94$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.76 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 69c | 724$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 32c | 558.54$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.32 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 24c | 557.85$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.25 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 33c | 459.13$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.62 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 33c | 459.13$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.62 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 453.4$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 66c | 439.39$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…2b48backed Under | 70c | 421.43$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.36 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 66c | 417.21$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.32 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 68c | 352.3$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.82 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 32c | 338$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.84 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 32c | 315.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.37 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 67c | 266.76$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.6 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 69c | 257.17$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.45 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 49c | 243.41$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.64 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.99 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 70c | 151.12$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 29c | 144.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 71c | 141.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 36c | 134.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 38c | 118.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 69c | 116.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 74c | 103.77$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 155 | 54.2%84 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 60c | 65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 35c | 62.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 64c | 61.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.59 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 31c | 61.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.38 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 32c | 59.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 35c | 54.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Under | 57c | 48.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…7fd8backed Over | 33c | 45.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 24c | 44.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 36c | 41.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Under | 64c | 39.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Under | 76c | 35.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Over | 48c | 24.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e69…2650backed Under | 68c | 22.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 62c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 62c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Under | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Under | 69c | 21.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: CA Rosario Central O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)CA Belgrano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.