South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb77d562917956fede173a617da38beb26cd5605c601853b481950dcce50212a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 750.32$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.84 | 1,484 | 37.3%554 W · 930 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 42c | 550$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 2,598 | 39.3%1,022 W · 1,576 L | -26.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 448.29$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.02 | 2,004 | 51.3%1,028 W · 976 L | +41.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 427.95$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.27 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 387$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.46 | 2,346 | 51.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 57c | 334.93$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.91 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…2b48backed No | 58c | 123$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 47c | 115.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 565 | 37.5%212 W · 353 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3f…d6e2backed Yes | 43c | 103$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 42c | 102.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…bb58backed No | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 40c | 88.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 1,702 | 52%885 W · 817 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 42c | 69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 2,648 | 54.2%1,436 W · 1,212 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 44c | 68.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 57c | 58.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.13 | 727 | 50.5%367 W · 360 L | -25.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 47c | 51.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 1,324 | 50.1%663 W · 661 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2183backed Yes | 44c | 44.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 44c | 44.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 42c | 29.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 1,557 | 45.1%702 W · 855 L | +19.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…23f9backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: CA Rosario Central O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-1.5)CA Rosario Central won
- Spread: CA Rosario Central (-1.5)CA Belgrano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.