South American Leagues · resolved market

Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6659decfae9e0ce6808528ebc0f1e874eebff3646e56af422858c276a4699a9a

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $180,956
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $182,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,956 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x547f…2937backed Under	79c	150,441$118,394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32,046.62	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-4.4wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-27%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over	22c	68,702$15,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,114.39	94	54.3%51 W · 43 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	20c	29,298$5,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,936.72	2,514	39%980 W · 1,534 L	-32.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	23c	21,501$4,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,900.2	8,107	48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L	+26.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	24c	21,467$5,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,054.28	5,757	45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L	+94.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under	67c	8,000$5,372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,628.52	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	20c	6,084$1,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,241.09	3,749	38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L	-33.3wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	30c	2,931$872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$872.28	2,281	34.3%782 W · 1,499 L	-30.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	21c	2,554$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.72	824	34.5%284 W · 540 L	-17.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over	23c	1,129$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.97	951	55.8%531 W · 420 L	+31.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Under	48c	946.54$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.93	23	65.2%15 W · 8 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	31c	942.37$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.76	575	40.2%231 W · 344 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under	66c	890.76$587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.08	200	36.5%73 W · 127 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over	35c	857.14$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over	22c	823$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.7	720	58.8%423 W · 297 L	+29.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over	31c	667.74$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207	56	60.7%34 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	65cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	34c	667.04$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.23	2,170	43.7%948 W · 1,222 L	-53.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	26c	639.42$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.25	191	35.1%67 W · 124 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under	40c	502.96$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.25	121	56.2%68 W · 53 L	+5.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over	36c	500$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-25%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under	76c	482.52$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.69	86	57%49 W · 37 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+29%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2918…fe4abacked Over	31c	399.98$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.99	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4544…7db1backed Under	74c	364.78$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.84	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over	29c	332.16$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.33	170	51.8%88 W · 82 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under	68c	300$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	103	64.1%66 W · 37 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	69cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under	76c	263.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.16	220	49.1%108 W · 112 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under	77c	259.74$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.74	160	51.3%82 W · 78 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	52c	238.87$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.35	1,443	45.9%662 W · 781 L	-22.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	35c	237.39$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.22	517	50.7%262 W · 255 L	+28.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	33c	226.66$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.52	1,328	57%757 W · 571 L	+57.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Under	47c	187.36$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.36	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over	23c	179.9$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	59	39%23 W · 36 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b3…461bbacked Over	18c	166.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	15c	156.19$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.67	311	36.7%114 W · 197 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	14c	150$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	350	46.3%162 W · 188 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	26c	136.07$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.38	519	45.7%237 W · 282 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Over	28c	133.13$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.28	118	48.3%57 W · 61 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over	33c	133$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.89	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	47c	130.3$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.72	1,537	45.2%695 W · 842 L	+21.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	30c	119.11$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.61	1,944	51.3%998 W · 946 L	+40.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	57c	110.73$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.34	896	45.4%407 W · 489 L	-23.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over	32c	109.38$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	105	13.3%14 W · 91 L	-8.4wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58e4…3876backed Under	70c	107.14$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.14	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	65cpaid	+52.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under	41c	97.95$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.89	87	55.2%48 W · 39 L	+7.2wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	23c	76.29$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.69	506	43.9%222 W · 284 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Over	37c	67.56$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	113	28.3%32 W · 81 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over	21c	62.1$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.04	90	56.7%51 W · 39 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under	45c	60.76$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.31	217	52.1%113 W · 104 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over	37c	57.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.43	168	45.2%76 W · 92 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over	55c	56.5$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	60	53.3%32 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	62c	47.73$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.35	898	46.1%414 W · 484 L	-11.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	55c	47.7$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.13	1,253	56.2%704 W · 549 L	+73.3wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under	77c	44$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.32	300	48%144 W · 156 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over	38c	40.35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.25	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under	50c	40.1$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.1	20	40%8 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over	51c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Over	28c	38.88$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.89	93	50.5%47 W · 46 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Under	70c	35.71$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.71	103	65%67 W · 36 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	69cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	37c	33.17$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.41	675	48%324 W · 351 L	-18.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under	61c	32.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.57	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22ea…7301backed Over	35c	31.49$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	163	49.1%80 W · 83 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Under	73c	26.23$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.1	61	68.9%42 W · 19 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92c1…244dbacked Over	76c	25.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.87	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-3.5wins	-0.13per pick	60cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab95…6c79backed Under	59c	24.85$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.09	41	70.7%29 W · 12 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under	49c	24.6$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.55	138	50%69 W · 69 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75b1…2d21backed Under	61c	24.59$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.59	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under	61c	21.5$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.3	49	63.3%31 W · 18 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31e0…1d15backed Under	67c	16$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.28	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	73cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked Under	79c	12.82$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.69	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	70cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5this page
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: CF Pachuca O/U 2.5Over won
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 0.5Over won
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5Over won
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 2.5Over won
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 4.5Under won
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 5.5Under won
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: Pumas de la UNAM O/U 0.5Under won
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: Pumas de la UNAM O/U 1.5Under won
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: Pumas de la UNAM O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
Spread: CF Pachuca (-2.5)CF Pachuca won
Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)CF Pachuca won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event