TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,658
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,116

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,658 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7f14…29d1backed Over41c6,690$2,767 inLost-$2,766.573935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under50c3,079$1,546 inWon+$1,532.8419155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under73c2,996$2,191 inWon+$805.455,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5277…b271backed Over29c2,660$758 inLost-$758.381136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick24cpaid+43.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under73c2,435$1,784 inWon+$651.282434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under68c1,031$696 inWon+$334.741,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over8c553.91$44 inLost-$44.313,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under46c520.43$238 inWon+$282.5612545.6%57 W · 68 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Over33c517.05$172 inLost-$172.2116051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under43c484$208 inWon+$275.888247.6%39 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Over54c320$173 inLost-$173.3617051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Over33c303.03$100 inLost-$100450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under72c301.41$219 inWon+$82.920036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over10c249.99$25 inLost-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over31c232.64$71 inLost-$71.4551750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over8c151.01$12 inLost-$12.031,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over25c128$32 inLost-$32.1789846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Under42c119.05$50 inWon+$69.054182.9%34 W · 7 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over25c100$25 inLost-$251040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over23c48.07$11 inLost-$11.141,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under53c44.88$24 inWon+$21.2711944.5%53 W · 66 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Under68c15.32$10 inWon+$4.99350.5%47 W · 46 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.