TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,856
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,856 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over33c11,258$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,557.8614727.2%40 W · 107 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c7,578$3,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,936.768,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over34c5,451$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,570.8451749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c90…5b3ebacked Over46c5,200$2,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,807.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c4,985$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.935,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe4…3cbdbacked Under2c4,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-93.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over52c3,595$1,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.494843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x270c…f66fbacked Under3c3,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90150%0 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under20c2,555$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.6657540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under67c2,428$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.033941%16 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under66c2,364$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.521,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under66c2,264$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.4112755.1%70 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under52c2,082$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.7229037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over79c2,009$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.5524665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under65c1,800$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17017055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under67c1,784$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.961,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c1,412$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.543,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over33c973.3$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.361,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over24c940.5$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.117925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under43c826.63$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.061,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under62c770$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.152,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Over79c738.27$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.810875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Over65c602.32$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.325660.7%34 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c554.33$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.251,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Over32c542.78$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.0911551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under10c537$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6918426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over69c518.62$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.774753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Under39c508.57$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0417051.8%88 W · 82 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Under66c442.86$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.0213856.5%78 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over80c430.5$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.841,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c09…b9b3backed Over72c415.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.874755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under49c413.96$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8460%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under45c403.44$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.438755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1963756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under68c400$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27216160.9%98 W · 63 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under68c384.56$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.5455946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under79c379.86$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0410250%51 W · 51 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under67c373.41$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.6228940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Over65c353$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.88812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick33cpaid-80.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under13c350$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1882434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under32c326.49$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.481553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under51c326.22$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.375042%21 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under67c297.09$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0527855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010635.8%38 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under56c278.01$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.5895155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under65c265$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8830754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under40c249.79$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9935240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under53c233.71$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9212850%64 W · 64 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under67c201$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.542,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under65c179.35$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.872,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under67c177$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4731039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over66c173.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6844843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Under20c171.2$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.246053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Under70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013167.9%89 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under27c120.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2335246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under66c116.21$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.713049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over66c102.76$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9421044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Under30c100.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.242321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8b…9cd7backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417463.5%47 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under54c99.91$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9531136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over62c92$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.011478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over61c79.65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.054858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92c1…244dbacked Over73c73$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.562646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under50c68.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4119164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over55c63.66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7989645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over42c61.65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.824858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Over38c61.34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9430231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Under66c60.18$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.422650%13 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6051…06efbacked Over69c57.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over32c55.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9712340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Under63c47.61$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9910446.2%48 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc60…6c08backed Under54c45.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.351631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0dd2…5d8ebacked Under54c41.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Under54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.77241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bab…c45ebacked Over63c39.27$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.532483.3%20 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+19.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dba…98b8backed Under42c38.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d2…510abacked Under47c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.751020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Over51c35.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.193745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under60c33.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.321369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d4b…802bbacked Under32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed Under50c30.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.126735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b6…886ebacked Over69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under57c28.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.465837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Under61c26.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0510766.4%71 W · 36 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over69c24.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.599056.7%51 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under52c23.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4763061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over50c23.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7916864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8063…7832backed Under65c20.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.41241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Under65c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137052.9%37 W · 33 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1425345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under68c16.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2615651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.