South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x393e17523c43e8bcdea5897078ff7139f324714ec8371e4672685610947346a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb11…0bb1backed No | 11c | 3,968$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,517.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +340.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked No | 77c | 3,026$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.98 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 68c | 2,921$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.36 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…401fbacked No | 14c | 2,867$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 2,484$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.02 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 65c | 2,276$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.62 | 247 | 66%163 W · 84 L | +27.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf99c…6d74backed No | 9c | 1,333$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 1,076$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.57 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 42c | 881.33$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.16 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 60c | 742.14$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.64 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 64c | 676$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 65c | 649.46$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.61 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 72c | 415.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.95 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 377.85$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.18 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 58c | 376.61$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.42 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 290.22$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.62 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed No | 11c | 280$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.4 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 14c | 252.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.74 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 244.15$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.52 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 58c | 226.74$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…c41ebacked Yes | 52c | 192.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 62c | 172$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 55c | 140.79$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 406 | 51%207 W · 199 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 66c | 136.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 29c | 123$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 33c | 107$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 22c | 100.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 58c | 87.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 20c | 75.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 43c | 65.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 41c | 48.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 54c | 42.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 425 | 62.4%265 W · 160 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fd…4bf2backed Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 48c | 38.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…131dbacked Yes | 41c | 31.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…fd02backed No | 33c | 31.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…8892backed Yes | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x010c…a158backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…50d4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre: CA Tigre O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre: Club Nacional de Football O/U 0.5Under won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre: Club Nacional de Football O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre: O/U 2.5Over won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-2.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: Club Nacional de Football (-1.5)CA Tigre won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.