TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,324
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$45,698

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,324 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c7,362$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.568,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under1c4,333$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c3,543$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.441,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over59c3,329$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.895,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Over46c3,145$1,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.056553.8%35 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under54c1,574$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.921,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over52c1,542$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.422,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under54c1,283$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.661,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under45c1,072$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.721044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed Over47c1,041$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.726735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over47c1,000$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.7820046%92 W · 108 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under53c961$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.152,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over48c868.09$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.4116543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under48c845.78$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.529037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under3c828.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8512434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Under50c685$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.7655250.2%277 W · 275 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed Under5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…e6a6backed Under5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Under5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3080%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e50…0ea8backed Under5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x677e…4a1fbacked Over48c571.49$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.7911328.3%32 W · 81 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48fb…ced4backed Under6c560$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over59c540$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.81833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over64c528.56$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.7221765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Over55c444.37$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.218746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under13c437.96$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2218426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under54c413.99$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.8353836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20820846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x572e…6382backed Under72c400$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Over51c380.97$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.7313748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under46c352.17$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.0795155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over48c258.62$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1626835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over57c254.97$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.521,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under48c238.19$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.593,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c222.27$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.692,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under15c216.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4729047.6%138 W · 152 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1009148.4%44 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Under54c189.87$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.489920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked Under18c172.5$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4419164.4%123 W · 68 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under12c146.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.21,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Over46c146.45$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4615625.6%40 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under54c140$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.614643.2%63 W · 83 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over29c140$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.48554.1%46 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over55c136.63$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8315041.3%62 W · 88 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf15e…80b5backed Under63c118$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.343935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under12c114.62$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.931,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under24c108.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5789846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under53c106$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.181758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+60.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over72c103.04$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.851478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick67cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under54c94.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a48…e3a8backed Over47c94$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under43c87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4572058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under55c83.63$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468755.2%48 W · 39 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.425147.8%120 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over68c75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0651945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Under46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.17241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Over47c63.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.66728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-48.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66bf…07e8backed Over48c60.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.423351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Over42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5218140.3%73 W · 108 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over33c51.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.622,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Under53c49.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262536%9 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa236…4cbbbacked Under43c46.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Over46c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.314149.6%70 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92c1…244dbacked Over70c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.562646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.595054%27 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under44c39.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4263061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over49c36.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.821,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under29c34.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0535240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under54c33.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.262,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcec8…4bedbacked Over62c32.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.46757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b33…d653backed Over62c32.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.462128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14fc…d8f4backed Over62c32.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb109…d40fbacked Over48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.251266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff2…1c10backed Under52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Over46c29.81$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.12650%13 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Under53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152729.6%8 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-41.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1ff0…0a65backed Over46c27.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.89887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick54cpaid+68.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under50c27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52556%14 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under54c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.518557.8%107 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13c8…ed6cbacked Under50c23.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over62c23.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9419155.5%106 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over55c23.17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4667548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Over47c23.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.241947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x392a…a334backed Over46c21.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.74862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under53c20.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.966061.7%37 W · 23 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.