TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,441
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,441 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c3,591$36 inLost-$36.04927.6%7 W · 85 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-51.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e50…0ea8backed Under4c1,441$55 inLost-$55.2450%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Over67c1,022$684 inWon+$338.2910128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost-$107925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf916…2763backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost-$102630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under18c919.06$163 inLost-$163.498,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under27c876.05$239 inLost-$238.6229037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under23c875.59$205 inLost-$204.832,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over77c747$575 inWon+$171.815,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under33c606.05$200 inLost-$2002433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-50.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under33c601.03$200 inLost-$199.8153836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed Under5c600$30 inLost-$3060%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…e6a6backed Under5c600$30 inLost-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Under5c599.99$30 inLost-$3080%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over66c304.23$202 inWon+$101.939641.7%40 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over72c229.45$166 inWon+$63.821044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under22c104.17$23 inLost-$23.13,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over74c100$74 inWon+$264477.3%34 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under33c93.77$31 inLost-$30.941,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under19c66.68$13 inLost-$12.5195155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Over77c64.1$49 inWon+$14.748746%40 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Over73c60$44 inWon+$16.525345.1%114 W · 139 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under26c40.54$11 inLost-$10.542,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033b…b4eabacked Over74c40.54$30 inWon+$10.543100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over74c31$23 inWon+$8.0649136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.