South American Leagues · resolved market
SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e6b75318c3e01e987037027c1b7b4e76a6cf4a35d777ef545bf0c81cb3c0407
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 62c | 11,141$6,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,853.09 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 41c | 4,040$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.09 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Under | 73c | 3,383$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.46 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 74c | 3,204$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.48 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 18c | 2,377$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.34 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Over | 18c | 2,226$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.22 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Under | 45c | 1,955$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.73 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 75c | 1,557$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.27 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Over | 50c | 1,370$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.71 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 59c | 1,014$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.07 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 48c | 995.35$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.32 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 34c | 938.5$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.61 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 75c | 824.51$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.75 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Under | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 59c | 759.32$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.32 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Under | 75c | 666.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.66 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Under | 54c | 648.56$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.35 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 63c | 631.82$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.46 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Over | 11c | 568.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c6…b27bbacked Under | 44c | 566.03$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 12c | 419.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Under | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Under | 33c | 369.27$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…0dc0backed Under | 33c | 361.91$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.66 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 11c | 357.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…2763backed Over | 21c | 348.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1510…fe91backed Under | 79c | 318.39$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 76c | 253.61$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 14c | 251.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 67c | 223.88$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 20c | 183$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 77c | 175.79$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 47c | 169.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 80c | 164.33$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 62c | 148.27$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 73c | 136.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 59c | 133.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 12c | 132.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 43c | 132$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 17c | 115.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…19bdbacked Under | 33c | 114.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 77c | 97.92$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Under | 79c | 82.95$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 72c | 82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 31c | 80.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 27c | 71.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.31per pick | 57cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Under | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…0242backed Under | 77c | 64.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Under | 59c | 52.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2adb…9e4bbacked Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 77c | 46.1$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 76c | 41.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Over | 69c | 37.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +392.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 75c | 33.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 74c | 31.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 72c | 19.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Under | 77c | 17.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5this page
- SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC: Cruzeiro EC O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC: Cruzeiro EC O/U 2.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 0.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5Under won
- SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)SC Internacional won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
- Spread: SC Internacional (-2.5)Cruzeiro EC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.