Fifa International · resolved market
Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75977272c9b6cdee325bda4cb9c4f043e324efed6cffc33a29d21f36e35ceb54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,355
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 3,606$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.73 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c62…06fcbacked Over | 59c | 2,339$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.83 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 877.59$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.79 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 57c | 834.73$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.28 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 716.72$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.72 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Over | 57c | 506.53$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.72 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed Under | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 41c | 357.75$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.1 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 42c | 277.79$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.18 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 43c | 276.1$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.42 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over | 57c | 253.26$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.36 | 295 | 58.3%172 W · 123 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6faf…de48backed Over | 59c | 206.78$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 202 | 24.8%50 W · 152 L | -15.8wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Over | 57c | 170.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Over | 49c | 155.88$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…dd9ebacked Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Under | 42c | 98.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb54…8c93backed Over | 46c | 60.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 55c | 51.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 38c | 50.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 56c | 49.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5a2bbacked Over | 43c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7957…18cfbacked Over | 58c | 45.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…a87ebacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Over | 43c | 33.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa22…4462backed Over | 57c | 26.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 57c | 24.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Algeria (-3.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Jordan (-1.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Jordan (-2.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Jordan (-3.5)Algeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.