Fifa International · resolved market
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb984711142ba430c0dd29ec7cf4a1db6b95cfa53393487e1e023df462eed1b78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $168,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $168,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 3c | 44,698$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.57 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 3c | 7,985$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.11 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 2c | 6,012$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 5c | 3,860$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.46 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…2763backed Over | 5c | 3,707$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.92 | 186 | 26.3%49 W · 137 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Over | 3c | 3,335$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.44 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 6c | 2,425$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.44 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 7c | 2,124$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.06 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Over | 6c | 2,008$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.84 | 159 | 20.1%32 W · 127 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 6c | 1,747$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 2c | 1,689$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 2c | 1,561$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 2c | 1,460$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.39 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 8c | 1,378$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.21 | 384 | 37%142 W · 242 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 10c | 1,273$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.66 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…0a0bbacked Over | 6c | 1,064$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 41 | 2.4%1 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 4c | 1,027$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 6c | 826$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e89…3e0abacked Over | 6c | 535.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 267 | 16.1%43 W · 224 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…dd07backed Over | 6c | 503.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 6c | 446.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 6c | 372.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Over | 6c | 364.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 6c | 343.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 438 | 19.2%84 W · 354 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 6c | 341.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 5c | 333.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 11c | 326.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Over | 6c | 319.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…ce82backed Over | 4c | 287.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…ba88backed Over | 6c | 275$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 6c | 215.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Over | 5c | 201.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 9c | 134.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5this page
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Algeria (-3.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Jordan (-1.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Jordan (-2.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Jordan (-3.5)Algeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.