TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,395
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,825

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,395 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1041…f452backed Under78c2,174$1,693 inWon+$481.2910146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c1,419$675 inLost-$674.731,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Over23c1,304$300 inLost-$30016637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Over53c942.78$500 inLost-$5002740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7940…47e7backed Under53c668.54$353 inWon+$315.839947.5%47 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over18c432.65$78 inLost-$77.883,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff88…601dbacked Under52c400$208 inWon+$1928062.5%50 W · 30 L+11.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+30%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over21c382.04$80 inLost-$80.2387237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Over23c278$64 inLost-$63.948048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over15c259.8$40 inLost-$40.151,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Over45c209.53$93 inLost-$93.2822560.4%136 W · 89 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over10c190.41$19 inLost-$19.262,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9970…1651backed Under53c188.68$100 inWon+$88.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ebd…21cdbacked Under53c188.68$100 inWon+$88.682365.2%15 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+48.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over21c188$39 inLost-$39.481,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over16c168.61$26 inLost-$26.432,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under78c156$122 inWon+$34.311,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over21c125$26 inLost-$26.251,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over20c122.43$25 inLost-$251,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ec…28b9backed Over24c102.21$25 inLost-$24.532334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over14c100.78$14 inLost-$14.062,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under77c79.99$62 inWon+$18.42,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over21c64$13 inLost-$13.312,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdf2…d6d8backed Under52c57.69$30 inWon+$27.691070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under78c56$44 inWon+$12.21,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under76c36$27 inWon+$8.522,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Over48c27.15$13 inLost-$12.9620851%106 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under71c21.74$16 inWon+$6.219862.1%123 W · 75 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cbe…23b1backed Under71c21.13$15 inWon+$6.132766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.