Spread: Jordan (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ce5b4797aa3f1450e901c5a5aef2f0358e43a9f3568543dc8bd0e7eb272142e

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Algeriaof Jordan, Algeria
Resolved: Jun 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $294,970
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $311,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,970 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Jordan	11c	84,475$9,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,557.73	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Jordan	0c	20,711$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.52	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9bef…5a8cbacked Jordan	12c	16,832$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Jordan	12c	16,767$2,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,067.46	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Jordan	4c	9,291$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.04	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Jordan	4c	5,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fc…55ccbacked Jordan	3c	3,014$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.9	103	35%36 W · 67 L	-7.1wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda2b…85febacked Jordan	4c	2,477$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	65	16.9%11 W · 54 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb57e…ffe8backed Jordan	13c	1,774$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	246	20.3%50 W · 196 L	-21.8wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Jordan	12c	1,698$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Jordan	11c	1,609$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.67	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d8c…99f6backed Jordan	13c	1,539$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f17…b55dbacked Jordan	12c	1,465$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.74	121	45.5%55 W · 66 L	+9.0wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Jordan	11c	1,423$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.42	108	36.1%39 W · 69 L	+8.7wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Jordan	4c	1,273$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	549	17.9%98 W · 451 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f66…849bbacked Jordan	4c	1,214$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.13	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jordan	9c	1,048$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.41	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Jordan	4c	998.95$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.96	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4059…a362backed Jordan	3c	949.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd18d…fc51backed Jordan	4c	931.89$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.15	105	34.3%36 W · 69 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Jordan	4c	842.86$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.95	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaec9…8de6backed Jordan	12c	842.53$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	139	30.9%43 W · 96 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked Jordan	5c	709$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.29	79	11.4%9 W · 70 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jordan	10c	652.93$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.28	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Jordan	13c	640.36$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.86	216	41.7%90 W · 126 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b41…f2f2backed Jordan	13c	631.99$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2c48…f6f6backed Jordan	13c	631.76$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Jordan	4c	590$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.49	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Jordan	3c	583.59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.56	306	7.8%24 W · 282 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Jordan	13c	574.68$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.64	362	34%123 W · 239 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Jordan	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	189	11.1%21 W · 168 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Jordan	6c	480$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	464	45.5%211 W · 253 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Jordan	14c	476$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.02	384	37%142 W · 242 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x926f…f72ebacked Jordan	11c	466.4$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	250	18.4%46 W · 204 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3482…98e3backed Jordan	12c	413.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5e…6dd8backed Jordan	12c	413.22$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52fa…1f23backed Jordan	4c	400$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Jordan	4c	325$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.28	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Jordan	4c	286.12$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.87	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…c4febacked Jordan	5c	279$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.95	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Jordan	12c	264.08$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.68	455	36.9%168 W · 287 L	-26.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jordan	12c	257.4$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.14	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Jordan	10c	250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Jordan	13c	244.9$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.78	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Jordan	9c	212.25$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.86	432	30.1%130 W · 302 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-41%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fc0…a921backed Jordan	12c	210.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	165	42.4%70 W · 95 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadf9…aedebacked Jordan	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	115	42.6%49 W · 66 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83dd…06d2backed Jordan	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	146	35.6%52 W · 94 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Jordan	11c	190$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.67	124	37.1%46 W · 78 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Jordan	14c	188$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.66	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Jordan	11c	174.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	91	7.7%7 W · 84 L	-9.8wins	-0.11per pick	18cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Jordan	13c	148.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.54	847	38.8%329 W · 518 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa625…fac6backed Jordan	12c	130.43$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.65	390	43.6%170 W · 220 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Jordan	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Jordan	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+2.8wins	+0.25per pick	29cpaid	+60.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc3c…b218backed Jordan	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	118	54.2%64 W · 54 L	+9.0wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe20e…8f55backed Jordan	13c	100$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.7	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c79…fdf7backed Jordan	11c	99.97$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94ac…cd94backed Jordan	12c	99.97$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	285	44.6%127 W · 158 L	+10.4wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2458…9062backed Jordan	15c	97.01$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.26	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-51%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dab…4211backed Jordan	12c	90$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	120	52.5%63 W · 57 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Jordan (-1.5)this page
Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5Over won
Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5Over won
Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Under won
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 0.5Over won
Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 1.5Under won
Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 2.5Under won
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5Over won
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Over won
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Under won
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5Under won
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5Under won
Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Jordan won
Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Jordan won
Spread: Algeria (-3.5)Jordan won
Spread: Jordan (-2.5)Algeria won
Spread: Jordan (-3.5)Algeria won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Jordan (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event