Fifa International · resolved market
Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x078d1c3fa2b8a3ce53cf9b5aaee7dea73d646a8ff8ff1fba72fab50430381da4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x655e…610dbacked Under | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 4,858$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.1 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 66c | 2,754$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.53 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 13c | 1,753$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.61 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 76c | 1,484$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.98 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 75c | 1,153$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.65 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f8…003dbacked Under | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Under | 28c | 1,058$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.32 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 184 | 65.8%121 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Under | 12c | 999.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 14c | 868.8$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.63 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 14c | 695.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Under | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 162 | 40.1%65 W · 97 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Over | 73c | 400$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.16 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7575…10dabacked Under | 7c | 396.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x597b…9ea8backed Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 255.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 19c | 252.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 13c | 237$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…c73bbacked Under | 24c | 205.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Under | 28c | 203.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…fb0dbacked Under | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdb…0371backed Under | 29c | 172.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79aa…1168backed Under | 28c | 160.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 66c | 114.65$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 72c | 109.74$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…bd59backed Under | 24c | 90.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb276…6514backed Under | 33c | 78.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa860…b2cfbacked Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 70c | 43.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb902…10c0backed Over | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…6963backed Under | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd787…3d15backed Over | 63c | 30.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 193 | 39.9%77 W · 116 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 63c | 27.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…e988backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…fb40backed Over | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5this page
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Algeria (-3.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Jordan (-1.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Jordan (-2.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Jordan (-3.5)Algeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.