TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$387,405
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$400,262

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,405 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over8c99,095$8,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,394.454,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over14c15,555$2,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,143.2214045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over9c10,978$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.071,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over13c10,666$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.622,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over13c7,988$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.2510836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over7c7,567$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.294,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over5c6,004$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.0551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over14c5,555$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.732029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over6c5,027$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.923,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Over10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over13c5,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.9921631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over13c4,454$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.911,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over6c3,380$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.073,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Over15c3,334$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009936.4%36 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over13c3,077$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40089443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Over1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick1cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over5c2,933$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.875335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b26…8c32backed Over14c2,739$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3786418.8%12 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over6c2,651$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.0138333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over5c2,578$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.271,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30035424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over13c2,500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.9918626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over14c2,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28013046.9%61 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over13c1,870$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.795731.6%18 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over15c1,593$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.983727%10 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Over13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Over13c1,500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1953228.1%9 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over7c1,289$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.742,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over17c1,163$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.164425%11 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over8c1,147$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.682,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over14c1,044$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8343826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over11c1,000$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0937237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Over14c999.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408617.4%15 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over10c958.17$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.163823.7%9 W · 29 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over15c938.03$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0738437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over13c900$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11759230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10415920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over13c747.46$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1714323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over3c726.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.952,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde63…46c2backed Over2c701.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.510727.1%29 W · 78 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over14c678.07$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9345120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Over15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over8c665.06$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.183151.6%16 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick32cpaid+92.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over13c600$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785330.2%16 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Over13c499.98$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6517030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over13c461.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Over4c400$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1422623.5%53 W · 173 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea3f…1422backed Over13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509428.7%27 W · 67 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Over12c379.23$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4770948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over13c375.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028224.1%68 W · 214 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Over8c373.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9124246.7%113 W · 129 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over5c325.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4269534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over4c325.21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.241,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.261,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Over8c299.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-49.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Over13c299.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9924542.9%105 W · 140 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over13c298.49$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.825727.2%70 W · 187 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over9c269.12$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0528545.3%129 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x741d…1e84backed Over13c215$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.95540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8193…8c82backed Over13c213$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6910841.7%45 W · 63 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over13c209$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.177022.9%16 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5246…cb03backed Over13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2612128.1%34 W · 87 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e6f…cb64backed Over13c192.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252524%6 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Over14c182.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.261361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over12c163.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.237431.1%23 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d8c…bec4backed Over15c155.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.162623.1%6 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018821.8%41 W · 147 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Over13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025646.5%119 W · 137 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over13c150$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf219…76bbbacked Over14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214820.8%10 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3687237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd38c…371ebacked Over14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020133.8%68 W · 133 L+14.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over10c140.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6532317.6%57 W · 266 L-43.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-47.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1582340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over12c100.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.081,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06be…8a46backed Over14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149919.2%19 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1418911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Over20c99.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9547029.1%137 W · 333 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65d8…07c6backed Over13c98.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.17250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Over13c92.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1240240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x982c…0d6ebacked Over16c85.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3613547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.