TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,624
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,825

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,624 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed Over73c1,496$1,092 inWon+$403.991,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff88…601dbacked Under27c1,200$324 inLost-$323.998062.5%50 W · 30 L+11.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+30%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe0f8…003dbacked Under1c1,100$11 inLost-$11948.5%8 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-82.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked Under55c680.12$376 inLost-$375.677251.4%37 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under50c678.84$339 inLost-$339.4210146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Under56c535.71$300 inLost-$30028444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5858…dc6bbacked Over50c530$265 inWon+$2656246.8%29 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf34a…710cbacked Under27c296.3$80 inLost-$802161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+63.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under38c237$90 inLost-$90.062,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over45c138.99$63 inWon+$76.443,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e1…b8cdbacked Over45c122.22$55 inWon+$67.227238.9%28 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under43c113.57$49 inLost-$48.862,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c110.57$58 inWon+$52.168,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under34c107.7$36 inLost-$36.342,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad33…a3c5backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon+$48.043933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under54c97.23$53 inLost-$52.813,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under56c93.66$52 inLost-$52.452,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under50c80$40 inLost-$402,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under33c79.7$26 inLost-$25.942,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7554…fc63backed Over46c65.22$30 inWon+$35.2222147.5%105 W · 116 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+80.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over50c58.76$29 inWon+$29.4887237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under49c55.77$27 inLost-$27.34,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd27b…76f6backed Under56c44.57$25 inLost-$24.963941%16 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under40c44$18 inLost-$17.62,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under55c37.57$20 inLost-$20.53,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c76…7409backed Under56c26.79$15 inLost-$1511655.2%64 W · 52 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Over54c26$14 inWon+$12.0720186.1%173 W · 28 L+46.2wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+49.1%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Over50c23$12 inWon+$11.52737%10 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+77.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f18…d6cabacked Over48c20.94$10 inWon+$10.9423062.6%144 W · 86 L-1.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.