Fifa International · resolved market
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c6461eb1351c957e50151a3144a1d4623364b91fd52acd4a10772a30737d95a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $206,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $233,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 13c | 20,585$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.84 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 9c | 16,945$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.84 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 7c | 12,530$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.1 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 6c | 7,252$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.12 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 12c | 5,760$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.46 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 7c | 4,400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 306 | 26.5%81 W · 225 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 7c | 4,388$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.53 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Under | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Under | 12c | 3,685$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.33 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa608…1b35backed Under | 9c | 3,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,210$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 7c | 3,073$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.08 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 7c | 3,023$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.62 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 7c | 2,984$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.88 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…7a59backed Under | 1c | 2,918$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 10c | 2,902$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.14 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 12c | 2,052$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.18 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Under | 10c | 1,999$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb5…3f64backed Under | 6c | 1,909$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 11c | 1,601$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.59 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f14…29d1backed Under | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 4c | 1,244$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…e923backed Under | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f8…003dbacked Under | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 7c | 1,024$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 2c | 711$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 9c | 681.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed Under | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…658bbacked Under | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Under | 7c | 514.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 295 | 29.8%88 W · 207 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e89…3e0abacked Under | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 267 | 16.1%43 W · 224 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb980…73b0backed Under | 7c | 461.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Under | 7c | 443.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Under | 7c | 288.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Under | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 25.8%64 W · 184 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…bd59backed Under | 9c | 279$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…371ebacked Under | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +14.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Under | 7c | 216.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed Under | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -11.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Under | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 13c | 176$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 432 | 30.1%130 W · 302 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…8dc0backed Under | 8c | 162.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…4a0dbacked Under | 7c | 155$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc53f…8d44backed Under | 7c | 154.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 14c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83f6…25b6backed Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 139 | 32.4%45 W · 94 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…d0a9backed Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 146 | 25.3%37 W · 109 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1b…9876backed Under | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 327 | 33%108 W · 219 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Under | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 124 | 37.1%46 W · 78 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5this page
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Algeria (-3.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Jordan (-1.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Jordan (-2.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Jordan (-3.5)Algeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.