Fifa International · resolved market
Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2adb109ec2765ccc5f6bd2447590741fe5d6a7d41ed237e5de011914896f203
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 27,936$21,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,675.79 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 25c | 19,999$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.86 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 26c | 5,326$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 18c | 4,999$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.83 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 27c | 3,920$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.4 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 15c | 3,790$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.46 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 25c | 3,726$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.68 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…2e34backed Over | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 274 | 33.9%93 W · 181 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Over | 18c | 1,782$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.68 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62c3…b47abacked Over | 32c | 1,750$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 32c | 1,557$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.33 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 78c | 1,261$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.31 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 32c | 1,200$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.2 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 32c | 1,185$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.09 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…d362backed Over | 19c | 1,174$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 31c | 1,150$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.37 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over | 13c | 1,146$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0f…3476backed Over | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 38%68 W · 111 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…b94dbacked Over | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.05 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 29c | 832$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.97 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Over | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Over | 18c | 777$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 79c | 660$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 18c | 618.59$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.12 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc645…0072backed Over | 10c | 517$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Over | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 29c | 471.82$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.88 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe620…03acbacked Over | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Over | 15c | 332.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Over | 33c | 307.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Over | 33c | 296.27$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 16c | 279.01$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 17c | 255.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 32c | 249$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Over | 10c | 235.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a3…223ebacked Over | 9c | 231$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 17c | 221.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Over | 18c | 214.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 29c | 211.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x169c…75dbbacked Over | 24c | 207.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -74%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 189 | 11.1%21 W · 168 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over | 15c | 188.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Over | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 237 | 29.5%70 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…e35ebacked Over | 33c | 142.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7a…751abacked Over | 19c | 126.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 732 | 34.6%253 W · 479 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x655e…610dbacked Over | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 23c | 119.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…43ddbacked Over | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Over | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…2a3dbacked Over | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c7…892cbacked Over | 36c | 83.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 77c | 80.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 67c | 79.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 30c | 78.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe551…f188backed Over | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Over | 26c | 76.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6306…f58abacked Over | 27c | 74.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…4a70backed Over | 15c | 74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 324 | 33.6%109 W · 215 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac7…4b3ebacked Over | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc650…55a1backed Under | 79c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 293 | 63.1%185 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…3a04backed Over | 32c | 51.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…ec4cbacked Over | 23c | 48.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Over | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 65c | 35.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1995backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…8519backed Under | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 1.5this page
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 2.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5Under won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Algeria (-3.5)Jordan won
- Spread: Jordan (-1.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Jordan (-2.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Jordan (-3.5)Algeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.