TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,223
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,223 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under76c27,936$21,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,675.794,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over25c19,999$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.8614542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over26c5,326$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,372.418,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over18c4,999$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.8335424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over27c3,920$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.44,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over15c3,790$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.461,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over25c3,726$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.682,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over18c2,778$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44040343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over18c1,782$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.6864443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62c3…b47abacked Over32c1,750$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5605328.3%15 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over32c1,557$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.331,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under78c1,261$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.312,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over32c1,200$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.21,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over32c1,185$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.091,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b9e…d362backed Over19c1,174$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22311436.8%42 W · 72 L+7.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over31c1,150$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.371,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over13c1,146$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5237237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf312…b94dbacked Over17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.059351.6%48 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over29c832$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.972,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c6…502cbacked Over32c781.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507058.6%41 W · 29 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Over18c777$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.8651315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under79c660$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.313351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over18c618.59$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1248328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc645…0072backed Over10c517$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503938.5%15 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+76.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf346…8232backed Over18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9025510.6%27 W · 228 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over29c471.82$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8887237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe620…03acbacked Over33c400$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13217045.9%78 W · 92 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Over15c332.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1522623.5%53 W · 173 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf555…b36bbacked Over33c307.7$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.548846.6%41 W · 47 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Over33c296.27$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.774040%16 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over16c279.01$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.72,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over17c255.28$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.43,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over32c249$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6833120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dd…345cbacked Over10c235.35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2315747.1%74 W · 83 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a3…223ebacked Over9c231$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204017.5%7 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-28.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over17c221.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7446525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd18d…fc51backed Over18c214.62$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6310534.3%36 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over29c211.89$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.432,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x169c…75dbbacked Over24c207.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503212.5%4 W · 28 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-74%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Over20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018911.1%21 W · 168 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over15c188.85$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9182537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Over12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024616.3%40 W · 206 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x943b…e35ebacked Over33c142.42$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474825%12 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over19c126.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0773234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x655e…610dbacked Over32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick30cpaid-85.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over23c119.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.62,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x3486…43ddbacked Over17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209031.1%28 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Over19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e7a…2c0abacked Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7a1…2a3dbacked Over19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c7…892cbacked Over36c83.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306952.2%36 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under77c80.37$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.111,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under67c79.46$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2269744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over30c78.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.041,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe551…f188backed Over32c78.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Over26c76.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8947029.1%137 W · 333 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6306…f58abacked Over27c74.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207729.9%23 W · 54 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Over15c74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.132433.6%109 W · 215 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ac7…4b3ebacked Over25c59.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513147.3%62 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc650…55a1backed Under79c57$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7929363.1%185 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d85…3a04backed Over32c51.04$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.337025.7%18 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Under69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.545536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xac83…ec4cbacked Over23c48.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113050%15 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1897…2a42backed Over33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540435.6%144 W · 260 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Over33c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.857847.4%37 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under72c41.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8788852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under65c35.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.522,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8d5…1995backed Over32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…8519backed Under67c22.39$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.391957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+46.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.