TailMyPicks
Market

South American Leagues · resolved market

FC Juárez vs. CF América: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,823
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,791

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,823 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd9dd…b525backed Over53c999.97$530 inWon+$469.985952.5%31 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under39c853.06$334 inLost-$333.598657%49 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under41c650$266 inLost-$266.42,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Over59c500$295 inWon+$2057651.3%39 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under53c434.37$231 inLost-$230.853,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c359.51$169 inLost-$168.978,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Under56c351.97$197 inLost-$196.511384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.31per pick54cpaid+81.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under29c348.97$101 inLost-$101.2567337.1%250 W · 423 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over46c254.18$117 inWon+$137.1425635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over71c205.09$146 inWon+$59.481,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over73c180$131 inWon+$48.621366.7%142 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under57c175.43$100 inLost-$1001,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under20c142.5$29 inLost-$28.513149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb111…393ebacked Over49c113.84$56 inWon+$58.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over71c110.68$79 inWon+$32.142,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Under47c103.62$49 inLost-$48.730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over45c69.63$31 inWon+$38.551750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xffac…d469backed Over58c60$35 inWon+$25.210055%55 W · 45 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over48c51.89$25 inWon+$27.1116864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over65c50.16$33 inWon+$17.6119053.2%101 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over56c45.9$26 inWon+$20.2914540%58 W · 87 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x635b…2bdbbacked Over59c42.37$25 inWon+$17.37683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+57.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over72c26.79$19 inWon+$7.58756.3%49 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over56c26$15 inWon+$11.41,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.