South American Leagues · resolved market
FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5f7250b6be92c07bb7342bb5b66903e89a4b251b5e54d7190892ad64a1071ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 29c | 16,032$4,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,353.83 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 12,575$4,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,708.82 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 47c | 6,621$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.05 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 2,052$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.5 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 68c | 1,722$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.15 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 70c | 1,531$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.25 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 39c | 829.21$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.72 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 49c | 818.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.71 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 33c | 544$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.52 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 37c | 400.01$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.58 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Over | 48c | 375$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 33c | 372$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.76 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 66c | 368.53$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.52 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 67c | 349.27$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.89 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 31c | 342.11$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 67c | 335$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 49c | 310$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 57c | 305.86$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 60c | 282.45$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.76 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 56c | 264.77$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.46 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 58c | 229.68$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.13 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 13c | 216.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 59c | 205.21$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 16c | 188$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 67c | 186$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 60c | 183.96$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.82 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 69c | 181.16$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 31c | 173.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 70c | 172.69$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Over | 34c | 145$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 40c | 142$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Over | 63c | 140$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 56c | 135.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 70c | 135.28$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 47c | 127.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 56c | 126.54$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 42c | 122$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 58c | 116$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 69c | 102.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 31c | 102.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Over | 50c | 100.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Over | 74c | 97.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 74c | 95.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.67 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 31c | 91.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 67c | 91$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 56c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 46c | 49.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 31c | 48.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…6e9bbacked Over | 48c | 47.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 68c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 25c | 41.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 66c | 39.05$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 54c | 36.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 29c | 35.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 69c | 33.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 65c | 26.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed Over | 50c | 25.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 69c | 23.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 77c | 23.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 72c | 19.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Under | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Over | 71c | 17.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: CF América O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: CF América O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: CF América O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: FC Juárez O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: FC Juárez O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: FC Juárez O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF América (-1.5)FC Juárez won
- Spread: CF América (-2.5)FC Juárez won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-1.5)CF América won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.