South American Leagues · resolved market
FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6f4be6a5b1bee064ef6bdff8eaeeafeb07d29f1be67a4a420824ae99b6d1ea2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 52c | 11,674$6,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,603.52 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 61c | 6,958$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.85 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 48c | 6,816$3,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,271.62 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 48c | 6,526$3,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.26 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 20c | 3,836$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.18 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 47c | 2,766$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.99 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 2,438$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.79 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 48c | 2,023$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.71 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 52c | 1,718$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.77 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 47c | 1,712$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.63 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 1,649$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.31 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 1,433$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.55 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Under | 19c | 1,420$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.83 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 52c | 1,307$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.36 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Under | 46c | 1,246$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.31 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 53c | 1,034$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 48c | 881$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.88 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 564.34$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.51 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 63c | 534.02$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.75 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 352.71$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.77 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 72c | 313.45$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.46 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Under | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 54c | 250.52$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.24 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 46c | 200$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 80c | 195.44$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 51c | 172.5$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 52c | 162.33$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 53c | 157$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 33c | 152.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Under | 49c | 123.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 52c | 78.76$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 57c | 77.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 46c | 74.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Over | 52c | 73.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 47c | 71.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 36c | 51.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 37c | 51.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…5ac0backed Under | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe31f…a37cbacked Over | 53c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a46…2482backed Over | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 62c | 41.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 48c | 38.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ee…3240backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b3…3b3fbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 70c | 33.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 39c | 31.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Under | 49c | 30.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 75c | 30.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…736ebacked Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Over | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Under | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under | 48c | 20.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…7aa2backed Under | 49c | 20.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: CF América O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: CF América O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: CF América O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: FC Juárez O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: FC Juárez O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: FC Juárez O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF América (-1.5)FC Juárez won
- Spread: CF América (-2.5)FC Juárez won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-1.5)CF América won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.