South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CF América (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc84543938b9742fb62edfd737811b187341de73d13b9aaf1c312408351c80b8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Juárezof CF América, FC Juárez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed CF América | 33c | 10,464$3,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,423.59 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked CF América | 33c | 9,606$3,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.94 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed FC Juárez | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FC Juárez | 67c | 5,999$4,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.98 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Juárez | 65c | 5,466$3,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.67 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked FC Juárez | 67c | 4,400$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed CF América | 31c | 4,186$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.83 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Juárez | 74c | 2,864$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.34 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed CF América | 34c | 2,795$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.47 | 673 | 37.1%250 W · 423 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed CF América | 33c | 1,877$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.09 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Juárez | 65c | 1,549$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.73 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed CF América | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed FC Juárez | 66c | 757$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.38 | 312 | 40.1%125 W · 187 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked CF América | 33c | 619.21$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.02 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FC Juárez | 67c | 584.31$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.07 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed CF América | 35c | 559.15$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.98 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed CF América | 56c | 456.86$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Juárez | 72c | 440.4$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.61 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked FC Juárez | 68c | 430.09$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.57 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Juárez | 67c | 414$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.27 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FC Juárez | 53c | 371.96$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.82 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked CF América | 35c | 306.01$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.29 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a5…38d8backed FC Juárez | 67c | 301.67$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked FC Juárez | 67c | 279$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a46…2482backed CF América | 33c | 257$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked CF América | 27c | 199.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FC Juárez | 45c | 189$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Juárez | 69c | 187$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed FC Juárez | 75c | 177.81$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed CF América | 36c | 175$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.54 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed CF América | 34c | 147.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked FC Juárez | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked CF América | 46c | 130.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed FC Juárez | 65c | 128$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 416 | 62%258 W · 158 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed FC Juárez | 64c | 122.57$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed FC Juárez | 64c | 122.55$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.29 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FC Juárez | 56c | 111.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked FC Juárez | 53c | 109.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked CF América | 47c | 93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed FC Juárez | 60c | 86.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 144 | 63.9%92 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed FC Juárez | 69c | 84.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 632 | 61.2%387 W · 245 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed FC Juárez | 69c | 82.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked CF América | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked FC Juárez | 67c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 722 | 58.6%423 W · 299 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed FC Juárez | 67c | 78.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed FC Juárez | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecdc…6eedbacked CF América | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked CF América | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FC Juárez | 43c | 61.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed FC Juárez | 66c | 55.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed CF América | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed FC Juárez | 64c | 44.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked FC Juárez | 66c | 37.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed CF América | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed FC Juárez | 66c | 26.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…ecebbacked FC Juárez | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed FC Juárez | 79c | 19.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed FC Juárez | 65c | 19.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed FC Juárez | 70c | 18.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FC Juárez | 70c | 16.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed FC Juárez | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed FC Juárez | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked FC Juárez | 68c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CF América (-1.5)this page
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: CF América O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: CF América O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: CF América O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: FC Juárez O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: FC Juárez O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: FC Juárez O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF América (-2.5)FC Juárez won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-1.5)CF América won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.