South American Leagues · resolved market
FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x117e51214ff7e14d7d0be3c538d8fb7949853d13f8109a8d295df6713f75cbec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 23c | 2,997$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.01 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 77c | 1,999$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.78 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 24c | 1,891$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.86 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 23c | 1,564$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.61 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Over | 78c | 1,277$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 78c | 1,010$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.3 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 73c | 809.69$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.08 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Over | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 76c | 266.75$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 75c | 220$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 77c | 162$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 66cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 77c | 148.25$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 77c | 143.57$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 24c | 95.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 22c | 95.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Under | 22c | 89.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b4…17eebacked Over | 77c | 73.87$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 68 | 77.9%53 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 77c | 49.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 78c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 68c | 39.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Over | 78c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 72cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 72c | 21.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 145 | 40%58 W · 87 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1159…7c71backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: CF América O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: CF América O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: CF América O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: FC Juárez O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: FC Juárez O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: FC Juárez O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Juárez vs. CF América: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF América (-1.5)FC Juárez won
- Spread: CF América (-2.5)FC Juárez won
- Spread: FC Juárez (-1.5)CF América won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.