TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$172,650

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,674 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c10,191$5,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,877.961,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under53c10,000$5,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,325.724027.5%11 W · 29 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-34.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Over70c9,830$6,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,962.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over40c5,543$2,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,315.0372335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c5,446$2,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,789.0746741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under15c5,346$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.1560136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over25c5,184$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,886.438971.9%64 W · 25 L+12.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+29.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under8c4,629$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.26232.3%20 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under3c4,047$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.141233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under9c3,738$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.474346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46ca…ac4cbacked Under26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.99785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+31.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under74c1,806$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.4418736.4%68 W · 119 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under7c1,796$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.755637.5%21 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+171.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over41c1,779$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,045.421,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Under35c1,639$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under5c1,543$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.281020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-63.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd2…7f85backed Under77c1,429$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over30c1,333$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933.12733.3%9 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over28c1,313$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.821984.2%16 W · 3 L+7.6wins+0.40per pick44cpaid+136%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Over23c1,291$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.072171.4%15 W · 6 L+5.2wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+53%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over41c1,186$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.51666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+102.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over62c1,066$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Under30c1,034$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.4460%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under10c978.46$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.522055%11 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+100.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under55c937.65$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.7413567.4%91 W · 44 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under15c885$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.84837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under18c844.03$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3844033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under35c835.11$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.72060%12 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+58.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under16c830.29$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.272544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x611a…c8e9backed Under12c811.68$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.78875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Under10c801.54$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.164445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under6c780.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.355922%13 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under31c751.4$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.0523031.7%73 W · 157 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb418…ef38backed Over42c714.52$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+159.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa529…677ebacked Over75c658.73$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.682458.3%14 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x652b…e9c9backed Under79c629.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over64c625$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.954671.7%33 W · 13 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+52.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under26c600.6$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.782334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Under71c563.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea83…e0ccbacked Over71c563.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.38616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick53cpaid-76.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under3c555.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1711741%48 W · 69 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under15c544$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.26546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8c…191cbacked Over73c538.47$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over23c423.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.443252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1fe…e21fbacked Under77c416.79$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.16850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+104.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Over41c399.96$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.982142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under43c390.12$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.1915938.4%61 W · 98 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under59c389$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.6524252.5%127 W · 115 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under22c384$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.082123.8%5 W · 16 L-6.1wins-0.29per pick53cpaid-60.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Under80c371.13$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.8933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under55c365.94$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.642254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.645100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a42…984abacked Under11c342.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under26c338.18$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1224545.3%111 W · 134 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over38c325.89$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.4515448.7%75 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Under32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001457.1%8 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+64.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under24c308$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.216743.7%73 W · 94 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over60c287.51$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.584757.4%27 W · 20 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+26.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under35c283.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over34c275.07$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.636838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under74c269.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1353040%12 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Under10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5bc…c93dbacked Under70c225$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.520%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6c4…1b3cbacked Under24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501010%1 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Over68c205.52$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.522075%15 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under57c203$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.685475.9%41 W · 13 L+10.4wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+34%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under12c199.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9170%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.97540%30 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over17c189.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.4837649.5%186 W · 190 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed Over54c185.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.371573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+34.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67f8…6f42backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed Under55c165.87$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.66666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Over25c165.32$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.932272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+37.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcaea…5795backed Under12c147.06$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.651631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under55c142.89$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.012665.4%17 W · 9 L+5.7wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+100.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over55c125.52$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7317443.7%76 W · 98 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under37c113$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.812853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+54.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over31c108.45$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.833839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under20c102$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.252339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+98.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.538142.8%163 W · 218 L-22.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over37c99.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639843.9%43 W · 55 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+28.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over44c99.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under70c96.13$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.291346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick66cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c95.75$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3342438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over69c90$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.97561.3%46 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c57…4d10backed Under59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d82…244dbacked Under54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under52c78.84$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8617053.5%91 W · 79 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over25c76.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.276132.8%20 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over25c75.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.48368.7%57 W · 26 L+13.8wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+33.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x816a…5bebbacked Under70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Under76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Under31c62.94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.582138.1%8 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick24cpaid+192.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under60c62.13$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.281844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Under53c58.34$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.921435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over48c56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.221586.7%13 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+61.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xeab4…3d2dbacked Under37c54.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under46c50.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.936347.6%30 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.