TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,860

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,559 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under15c3,779$548 inLost-$548.391,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under11c3,691$418 inLost-$417.6572335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under14c1,331$186 inLost-$186.3450247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under15c528.06$79 inLost-$79.2132843.6%143 W · 185 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under4c524.49$21 inLost-$20.9818736.4%68 W · 119 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under8c505.1$40 inLost-$40.3323031.7%73 W · 157 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6c4…1b3cbacked Under7c285.71$20 inLost-$201010%1 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under14c216.79$30 inLost-$30.351442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x149d…8d63backed Under15c86.67$13 inLost-$13425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under14c86$12 inLost-$12.3942438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc140…5d98backed Under16c68.8$11 inLost-$10.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7b…f9e6backed Over80c46.3$37 inWon+$9.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.