Champions League · resolved market
LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd40f184766b3d9c0bab52e59cd7b6627501eea2e161bfef766886db40f662e00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 65c | 6,699$4,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,341.29 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 6,072$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.78 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 73c | 5,451$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.95 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +12.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Over | 61c | 1,997$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 25c | 1,821$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.29 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 35c | 1,296$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.82 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 35c | 1,295$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.56 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 75c | 1,282$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 25c | 1,271$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.77 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 35c | 1,230$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.13 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 35c | 1,006$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.98 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Over | 78c | 900$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 35c | 852.87$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.56 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 35c | 683.83$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.04 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 73c | 672.37$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 66c | 609.46$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 65c | 593.93$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.81 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 72c | 513$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +97%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 72c | 513$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 57c | 499.98$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 66c | 499$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.86 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 66c | 490.84$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.03 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Under | 45c | 466.67$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 75c | 387.02$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…1b3cbacked Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 35c | 289$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.24 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 30c | 196.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Under | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cba…52f8backed Over | 64c | 155.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 61c | 143.52$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 64c | 126.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under | 36c | 120.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Under | 35c | 105.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 35c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 59c | 99.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 198 | 56.6%112 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 36c | 94.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 40c | 84.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 35c | 80.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…b7f9backed Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 36c | 79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 54 | 75.9%41 W · 13 L | +10.4wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 78c | 76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 74.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…121cbacked Under | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 37c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Over | 75c | 58.25$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 35c | 57.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 144 | 54.9%79 W · 65 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 72c | 55.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.1wins | -0.29per pick | 53cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Under | 33c | 46.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 73c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd7…9c01backed Under | 36c | 40.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 31c | 40.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…c9febacked Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 57c | 39.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 76 | 67.1%51 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffb…261dbacked Under | 36c | 38.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…9351backed Over | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 73c | 35.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 33c | 34.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7b…c4ebbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa08e…70f0backed Over | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 40c | 27.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…99d0backed Over | 75c | 26.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…299bbacked Over | 56c | 24.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d0d…57dabacked Over | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 70c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 65c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 75c | 18.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5this page
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Celtic FC O/U 1.5Under won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: LASK Linz 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: LASK Linz O/U 1.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Team to AdvanceLASK Linz won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)LASK Linz won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-2.5)LASK Linz won
- Spread: LASK Linz (-1.5)LASK Linz won
- Spread: LASK Linz (-2.5)LASK Linz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.