Champions League · resolved market
Spread: LASK Linz (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10b335494eff214fa1871f2464910dc8e64060338291f784f05eaa2f3ea7d740
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LASK Linzof LASK Linz, Celtic FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LASK Linz | 29c | 3,438$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.59 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Celtic FC | 67c | 1,580$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.97 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…089abacked LASK Linz | 28c | 1,272$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.69 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Celtic FC | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LASK Linz | 28c | 975.83$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.65 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Celtic FC | 25c | 830.36$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.59 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Celtic FC | 72c | 770.2$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.54 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtic FC | 72c | 759.25$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.62 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Celtic FC | 72c | 741.97$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.22 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed LASK Linz | 43c | 545.27$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.8 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x487e…0d66backed LASK Linz | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…d8abbacked Celtic FC | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…2791backed Celtic FC | 68c | 244.02$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked LASK Linz | 27c | 207.4$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Celtic FC | 29c | 200.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Celtic FC | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.9 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed LASK Linz | 75c | 183.33$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf4…5324backed LASK Linz | 31c | 182.72$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +226.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed LASK Linz | 28c | 174.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044e…28d3backed Celtic FC | 58c | 162.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked LASK Linz | 20c | 140.35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.28 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…3989backed Celtic FC | 73c | 137$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Celtic FC | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked LASK Linz | 24c | 131.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Celtic FC | 72c | 104.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Celtic FC | 73c | 102.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Celtic FC | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed LASK Linz | 30c | 82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 54 | 75.9%41 W · 13 L | +10.4wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…e746backed LASK Linz | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked LASK Linz | 38c | 75.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed LASK Linz | 27c | 61.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked LASK Linz | 25c | 59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed LASK Linz | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed LASK Linz | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed LASK Linz | 28c | 48.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.30per pick | 34cpaid | +208.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed LASK Linz | 43c | 44.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Celtic FC | 57c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +158%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…64b1backed LASK Linz | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4801…6de9backed LASK Linz | 76c | 35.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Celtic FC | 71c | 23.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Celtic FC | 72c | 23.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Celtic FC | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed LASK Linz | 65c | 21.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…d394backed Celtic FC | 50c | 21.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…f821backed Celtic FC | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Celtic FC | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Celtic FC | 72c | 19.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Celtic FC | 72c | 18.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Celtic FC | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Celtic FC | 72c | 14.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: LASK Linz (-1.5)this page
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Celtic FC O/U 1.5Under won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: LASK Linz 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: LASK Linz O/U 1.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Team to AdvanceLASK Linz won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)LASK Linz won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-2.5)LASK Linz won
- Spread: LASK Linz (-2.5)LASK Linz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.