Champions League · resolved market
LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4096bee6276a7fda1b68229568743de7700cf23a3d95bc63764beac03ae7bd08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 65c | 3,948$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376.07 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 35c | 1,400$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 1,282$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.33 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 35c | 1,277$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.32 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 34c | 1,187$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.55 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 35c | 971.62$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.07 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes | 65c | 862.98$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 36c | 769.99$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 65c | 711.63$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.07 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 66c | 614$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.76 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 35c | 576.37$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.22 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 19c | 514.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 36c | 361.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 65c | 347.68$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 25c | 279$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 253$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 36c | 237.75$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.59 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Yes | 64c | 177.9$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Yes | 65c | 162.84$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cba…52f8backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Yes | 67c | 149.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 35c | 145.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 36c | 122.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 35c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 35c | 84.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…7158backed Yes | 65c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 50.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yes | 62c | 39.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 76 | 67.1%51 W · 25 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…848dbacked Yes | 65c | 29.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5fdbbacked Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Yes | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Celtic FC O/U 1.5Under won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: LASK Linz 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: LASK Linz O/U 1.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Team to AdvanceLASK Linz won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)LASK Linz won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-2.5)LASK Linz won
- Spread: LASK Linz (-1.5)LASK Linz won
- Spread: LASK Linz (-2.5)LASK Linz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.