Champions League · resolved market
LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c0be6764f4432e62ed7ed27f57bb14aadbf3df6e5bec8ec7da84e00d8c3f9b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x425b…18f1backed Over | 46c | 3,221$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.02 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +120.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd8df…a2c7backed Under | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 1,623$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.96 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 1,500$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 47c | 1,209$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.89 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8206…4826backed Under | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58af…0b13backed Under | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Over | 57c | 625$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.65 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 17c | 501$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.71 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 492.52$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.44 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Over | 35c | 469.08$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 64c | 310.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.32per pick | 41cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 36c | 279.83$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 23c | 224$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.53 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -6.1wins | -0.29per pick | 53cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 45c | 221.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 189$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…7eb9backed Under | 15c | 117.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 52c | 88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Under | 53c | 58.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…4715backed Under | 37c | 53.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5a…4063backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…a398backed Over | 34c | 46.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf015…1d5ebacked Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 63c | 21.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Celtic FC O/U 1.5Under won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: LASK Linz 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: LASK Linz O/U 1.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Team to AdvanceLASK Linz won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)LASK Linz won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-2.5)LASK Linz won
- Spread: LASK Linz (-1.5)LASK Linz won
- Spread: LASK Linz (-2.5)LASK Linz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.