TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: LASK Linz (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
LASK Linzof LASK Linz, Celtic FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,574 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed LASK Linz12c4,276$522 inWon+$3,754.451,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked LASK Linz13c2,117$275 inWon+$1,841.793857.9%22 W · 16 L+9.2wins+0.24per pick34cpaid+61.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked LASK Linz13c1,750$227 inWon+$1,522.483847.4%18 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked LASK Linz12c601.12$72 inWon+$52936142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed LASK Linz13c551.36$72 inWon+$479.6932843.6%143 W · 185 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb5…1d5bbacked LASK Linz38c527.7$200 inWon+$327.7862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Celtic FC33c454.08$152 inLost-$152.071,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed LASK Linz13c454$59 inWon+$394.98650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+81.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed Celtic FC73c136.77$100 inLost-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed LASK Linz14c105.85$15 inWon+$91.031471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+81.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed LASK Linz14c92.05$13 inWon+$79.1613936.7%51 W · 88 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked LASK Linz25c47.41$12 inWon+$35.668846.6%41 W · 47 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x881b…d1a1backed Celtic FC80c45.81$36 inLost-$36.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Celtic FC75c37.32$28 inLost-$27.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid+41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Celtic FC63c33.39$21 inLost-$213262.5%20 W · 12 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Celtic FC77c33.38$26 inLost-$25.717053.5%91 W · 79 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.