TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
LASK Linzof Celtic FC, LASK Linz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,762
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,762 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Celtic FC18c1,229$221 inLost-$220.6372335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Celtic FC13c927.63$120 inLost-$1201118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-66.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed LASK Linz76c657.89$500 inWon+$157.8915448.7%75 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed LASK Linz75c513$385 inWon+$128.252171.4%15 W · 6 L+5.2wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+53%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked LASK Linz75c513$385 inWon+$128.251668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.27per pick42cpaid+168.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked LASK Linz76c395.86$300 inWon+$96.346363.5%40 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed LASK Linz76c395.62$300 inWon+$96.16470.3%45 W · 19 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Celtic FC13c366$46 inLost-$46.067941.8%33 W · 46 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Celtic FC11c351$37 inLost-$37.243528.6%10 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+72.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked LASK Linz75c264.49$200 inWon+$64.817364.4%47 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf713…a97bbacked Celtic FC12c250$30 inLost-$302634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+239.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Celtic FC27c233.33$63 inLost-$631136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Celtic FC19c208.62$39 inLost-$38.8823031.7%73 W · 157 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Celtic FC7c200$14 inLost-$145240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a9c…e8c4backed LASK Linz76c39.92$30 inWon+$9.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed LASK Linz76c30.74$23 inWon+$7.383246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed LASK Linz76c26.32$20 inWon+$6.3217848.9%87 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d2d…b69dbacked LASK Linz76c13.16$10 inWon+$3.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+134%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.