Champions League · resolved market
LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac3832f12e77cdd10f17b9190698282f05aafb70b40c8d7771de67d8e5fce070
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72d0…c89bbacked Over | 0c | 26,679$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 31c | 1,724$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.88 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Over | 13c | 1,302$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 27cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 77c | 1,074$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.6 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 23c | 821.74$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Over | 24c | 716.76$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 482.05$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.21 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 39c | 307.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 77c | 231.75$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 79c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…4aa3backed Over | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 35c | 161.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 19c | 65.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 35c | 63.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…c9febacked Over | 25c | 61.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 25c | 50.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…4a1fbacked Over | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 78c | 33.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +192.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Celtic FC O/U 1.5Under won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: LASK Linz 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: LASK Linz O/U 1.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Team to AdvanceLASK Linz won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)LASK Linz won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-2.5)LASK Linz won
- Spread: LASK Linz (-1.5)LASK Linz won
- Spread: LASK Linz (-2.5)LASK Linz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.