Champions League · resolved market
LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe8a7b8aefd1c5b3d3c2bd10d07a0c496ce588b7dbe4e3a2f08298ce2f876199
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Under | 71c | 21,065$14,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,067.18 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 9,006$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.73 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 28c | 8,001$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.33 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 2c | 3,811$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 16c | 1,997$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.59 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 12c | 1,666$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over | 1c | 1,120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…053abacked Over | 16c | 1,044$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 27c | 901.43$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.54 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 31c | 840.78$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.34 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ca…ac4cbacked Under | 70c | 571.4$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.42 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +9.2wins | +0.24per pick | 34cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 79c | 289.7$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 289.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Under | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Over | 24c | 204.17$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f8…6f42backed Over | 30c | 167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 18c | 154.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 22c | 145.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 40c | 111.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 15c | 102.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…244dbacked Under | 66c | 99.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…64e9backed Under | 74c | 82.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 77cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 34c | 76.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Over | 29c | 47.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.25per pick | 62cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 66c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 74c | 42.23$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 28c | 38.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8a…6429backed Under | 76c | 25.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 5.5this page
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Celtic FC O/U 1.5Under won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: LASK Linz 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: LASK Linz O/U 1.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: Team to AdvanceLASK Linz won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)LASK Linz won
- Spread: Celtic FC (-2.5)LASK Linz won
- Spread: LASK Linz (-1.5)LASK Linz won
- Spread: LASK Linz (-2.5)LASK Linz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.