TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

LASK Linz vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,293 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under35c14,999$5,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,311.161346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over54c10,405$5,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,738.248971.9%64 W · 25 L+12.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+29.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over68c8,983$6,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,904.741,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over69c7,580$5,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350.851,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under57c2,379$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.8313738.7%53 W · 84 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under42c2,047$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.6572335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Under48c1,458$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under50c1,386$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69318736.4%68 W · 119 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Over50c1,321$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.11145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+207.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over48c953.06$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.331770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+97%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Under3c881.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.154445.5%20 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over46c741$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.141984.2%16 W · 3 L+7.6wins+0.40per pick44cpaid+136%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x3968…85b5backed Over57c607$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.011675%12 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+54.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under22c565.5$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.56838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over46c543.26$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.361586.7%13 W · 2 L+4.5wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+61.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xaf1c…98e8backed Over80c521.29$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over41c499.97$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.9843252.3%226 W · 206 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over43c453.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.3250247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over67c394$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9360136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under59c356.07$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.0827031.5%85 W · 185 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Under59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003964.1%25 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over60c308.27$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.384757.4%27 W · 20 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+26.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604477.3%34 W · 10 L+6.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+18.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011737.6%44 W · 73 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6c4…1b3cbacked Under16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401010%1 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-73%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over67c228.81$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.5111741%48 W · 69 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over42c222$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9965050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over55c217.75$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.876470.3%45 W · 19 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under71c211.32$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over50c206.4$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.126157.4%35 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+58.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under56c201.14$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4663346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce20…fa07backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over56c196.56$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.647364.4%47 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over43c191$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.873857.9%22 W · 16 L+9.2wins+0.24per pick34cpaid+61.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c190.16$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.542438%161 W · 263 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over62c164.72$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2217443.7%76 W · 98 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Under58c152.16$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.251353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under59c151.66$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.483154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+48.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.632123.8%5 W · 16 L-6.1wins-0.29per pick53cpaid-60.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over65c113.43$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.717053.5%91 W · 79 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Under47c112$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.64650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+81.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over68c106.74$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2323031.7%73 W · 157 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over50c106.05$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.157861.5%48 W · 30 L+10.5wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+35.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over65c103.61$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.248846.6%41 W · 47 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over39c102$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2291537.6%344 W · 571 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2144033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Over62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3812046.7%56 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc942…839cbacked Over44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under58c99.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588253.7%44 W · 38 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under57c99.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9938142.8%163 W · 218 L-22.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7809…6600backed Over44c98.97$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.56475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+60.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over64c88.4$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8215448.7%75 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over49c87.28$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.368368.7%57 W · 26 L+13.8wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+33.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under50c77.17$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.776347.6%30 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under14c73.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.36837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0011…4333backed Over63c73.1$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.05955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under52c72.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.762661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over48c70$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.419856.6%112 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over42c69.82$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.532843.6%143 W · 185 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over44c68.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.162147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+65.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over47c63.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.693354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Over42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.524341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over61c51.18$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7813567.4%91 W · 44 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under61c46.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6410151.5%52 W · 49 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over46c42.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.926363.5%40 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x165d…121cbacked Under59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a96…b71dbacked Over57c41.4$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.81931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f8…99d0backed Over47c41.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+73%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7e9…99e6backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.821450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Under30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.821258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under59c39.1$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0788631.7%281 W · 605 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over80c35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76872.1%49 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Over75c34.27$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.441687.5%14 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.25per pick62cpaid+41.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd177…1c8abacked Over45c33.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under43c30.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321443.9%94 W · 120 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f1…478bbacked Under59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.770%0 W · 7 L-3.8wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9409…5b36backed Over58c29.14$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.242250%11 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over46c24.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0717466.1%115 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over65c24.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.476953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under58c22.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.112437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ee…81b5backed Under68c22.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under61c19.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.623158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Over65c18.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.462365.2%15 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under61c18.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over67c15.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.173452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.