TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,722

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,135 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d11…c449backed Yes21c24,647$5,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,175.876839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes19c21,190$3,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,937.934,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed No79c19,922$15,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,183.57757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes19c15,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes18c11,981$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.496023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No75c9,413$7,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.1583444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes19c8,077$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.2399933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes19c8,005$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,520.957841%32 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fd…442fbacked Yes27c5,642$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes20c5,290$1,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.981816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-72.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No80c4,848$3,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.72441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked No78c4,500$3,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0051163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Yes1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick3cpaid+1,103.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e7…91a2backed Yes1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0160…c757backed Yes1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+1,705.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e8…9490backed Yes1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick2cpaid+2,159.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes19c2,632$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x573a…dcbfbacked Yes1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfe…294cbacked Yes2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed No66c1,843$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.46650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No73c1,775$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.173476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Yes19c1,695$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.052268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes23c1,461$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.653,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes19c1,393$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.8744039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No76c1,346$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.241,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes22c1,344$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.8910843.5%47 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No79c1,268$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.8740239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e7…9461backed Yes8c1,258$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49e8…227ebacked Yes12c1,199$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce0c…d839backed Yes24c1,036$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.53425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes10c934.77$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.48616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-76.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x018e…5c3dbacked No65c896.39$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.6922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes17c772.09$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0310254.9%56 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9817…5ff2backed Yes17c622.35$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes16c615.87$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.541,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Yes17c524.29$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.133534.3%12 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes19c473$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.87714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-70.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes19c450$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6615660.9%95 W · 61 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Yes4c404.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.025446.3%25 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Yes19c400.25$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.053145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes19c378.75$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9611253.6%60 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Yes18c352.76$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.784238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes18c288.09$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.427758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes18c285.01$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.36839.7%27 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes27c281.33$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.531,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes21c259.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8919632.7%64 W · 132 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes19c253.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.974055%22 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Yes20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a1d…2dd6backed Yes42c240.48$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4212159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06b…3353backed Yes30c191.93$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No76c177.79$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6741751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdea7…9df8backed No74c171$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a66…f00dbacked Yes21c154.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.42540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+41.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No79c152.38$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324663%29 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b32…3566backed Yes17c145$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.65742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Yes31c129.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404062.5%25 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+21%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No77c125.22$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.81145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9347…3674backed Yes17c117.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Yes30c115$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d80…e49fbacked Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee2…de75backed Yes17c107$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.19650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7e9…99e6backed Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-81.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7812…4bcdbacked Yes19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked No79c99.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed No72c99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.423351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No70c93.64$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7323232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef55…e370backed Yes37c87.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes17c79.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6333734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes17c76.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.234738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Yes34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes37c72.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7689…dd2bbacked Yes37c72.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.873348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No72c67.41$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9644424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes21c66.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.134965.3%32 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes29c64.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5758548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bca…486dbacked Yes19c63.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.051060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98d1…e38dbacked Yes19c63.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No71c62.14$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8163553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No80c60.01$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a60…a744backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3247…9488backed Yes19c56.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed No70c53.09$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.813342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf2d…8452backed Yes19c53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.072321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-43.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7655…f0b2backed Yes34c52.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa68d…eab5backed No80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2cd…f455backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb14…0da7backed Yes22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x929d…7ee3backed Yes37c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6060…a915backed Yes27c41.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.84645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x862f…200bbacked No78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.461090%9 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick76cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c3d…bbcabacked Yes35c34.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.231883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+30.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8084…abe8backed No78c28.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.211181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick76cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaca…573abacked No79c21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5452…d12ebacked No76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked No72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22040%8 W · 12 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.