Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf221c950e3147d51475299410280f8209a08bd893bc07ac499c4faf742a2e2c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde31…df79backed Yes | 53c | 58,495$31,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,486.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 46c | 23,027$10,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,655.27 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 48c | 12,632$6,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,107.02 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 12,396$4,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,832.17 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 53c | 4,411$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.31 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 3,537$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.19 | 2,344 | 41.6%976 W · 1,368 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed No | 46c | 3,166$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 1,688$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 48c | 1,531$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…f760backed Yes | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.99 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 47c | 1,425$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.75 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 47c | 1,168$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.02 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +11.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 45c | 1,143$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.57 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 68c | 1,025$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.63 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…5de2backed Yes | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 47c | 750$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 1,046 | 50.2%525 W · 521 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 49c | 661.45$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 23c | 620.63$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Yes | 48c | 612.24$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.36 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 47c | 493.23$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.82 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Yes | 80c | 348.16$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 53c | 322.92$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 307.58$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.95 | 662 | 50.6%335 W · 327 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 21c | 300$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 48c | 278.55$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.15 | 695 | 48.9%340 W · 355 L | +19.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37cc…f862backed Yes | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed Yes | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 47c | 172$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 48c | 170.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 48c | 168$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 49c | 153.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.31 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 47c | 138$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 48c | 132$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 47c | 127.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 47c | 125.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 978 | 46.2%452 W · 526 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 74c | 125$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 47c | 123$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 25c | 114.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 55c | 105.45$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 97.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…eab5backed No | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 19c | 86.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 53c | 86.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 795 | 54.1%430 W · 365 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Yes | 77c | 83.12$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ac…915dbacked Yes | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 76.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 50c | 71.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 387 | 44.4%172 W · 215 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 49c | 70.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked No | 47c | 68.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 41c | 62.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 40c | 61.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 55c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 239 | 50.2%120 W · 119 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 25c | 55.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 1,037 | 46.1%478 W · 559 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 53c | 51.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 65c | 51.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 24c | 47.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…8e3abacked Yes | 54c | 44.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 48c | 43.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked No | 47c | 42.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked No | 47c | 40.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 63c | 39.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 47c | 38.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 443 | 56.2%249 W · 194 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked No | 46c | 37.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…7bd0backed Yes | 55c | 33.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed No | 47c | 31.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 51c | 31.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 46c | 28.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 25.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Yes | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 72c | 20.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 54c | 20.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…5e33backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 75c | 15.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 797 | 32.2%257 W · 540 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Lugano win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will FC Lugano vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?No won
- Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.