Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1af3d3a18d9057008188196580eee87e6faed0188ead1b69d6d17fdf1d954f0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 7c | 4,781$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.74 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…203cbacked Yes | 23c | 2,341$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Yes | 6c | 1,823$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e2…d5b2backed Yes | 2c | 1,375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c68…6100backed No | 75c | 659.51$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.86 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 22c | 602.07$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.8 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 13c | 548.91$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 25c | 308.81$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc89…2ff1backed Yes | 14c | 174.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 76c | 123$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 120.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 77c | 103.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 95.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 13c | 77.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 23c | 73.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 71.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc89…e4d0backed Yes | 23c | 69.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3547…496fbacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Yes | 27c | 55.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…b17abacked Yes | 27c | 55.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 26c | 49.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Yes | 27c | 40.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will FC Lugano vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Lugano win on 2026-08-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.