TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,638
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,638 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes53c35,000$18,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,549.8131643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…d922backed Yes1c18,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24060%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No64c14,620$9,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,313.419454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No64c13,885$8,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,956.918,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad7c…6244backed Yes33c10,568$3,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,487.31020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes55c10,408$5,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,724.6318352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed No44c8,986$3,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,994.945543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No44c7,970$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,460.482,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed No44c6,818$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,818.182544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No44c6,625$2,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,713.71,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No53c5,943$3,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,787.5819952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Yes3c5,865$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.9128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick2cpaid+525%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes15c4,974$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.6375240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No44c3,801$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,116.2242250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No45c2,800$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.198756.3%49 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No64c2,284$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.1465058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No64c2,284$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.9433560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes61c2,100$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.2927133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b73…8688backed Yes58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+97.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked No44c1,707$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.14450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No44c1,705$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.553345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No37c1,696$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.9711230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes70c1,498$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.9828651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No44c1,456$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.993,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes57c1,137$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.4425866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yes56c1,071$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d95…fe91backed Yes48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.972070%14 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed Yes65c1,027$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.756946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015945.9%73 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes45c921$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.212722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes57c862.43$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.251,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe505…3068backed Yes60c816.05$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No44c804.58$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.571,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes61c775$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.4812065%78 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No50c761.89$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.955844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes54c749.99$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.491675%12 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No45c744.96$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.286555.4%36 W · 29 L+8.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8881…f160backed Yes56c701.45$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe271…1570backed Yes56c700$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3941030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Yes57c690.33$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.293444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes68c683.13$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.5321251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No55c594.76$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.5621640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Yes57c584.41$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.7648922.9%112 W · 377 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No39c536.41$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.5719630.6%60 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes61c524.1$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.1617440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No66c522.34$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.5136339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No67c508.64$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9737540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe471…34c0backed Yes59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x162f…4ee0backed No45c502.22$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.221154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes50c501.37$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018160.2%109 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No43c451.86$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.4112958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee4d…5413backed Yes46c430.74$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.14955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes49c421.41$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.412933.3%43 W · 86 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes60c416.67$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.523836.8%14 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+35.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2169651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No42c399.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.9912741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Yes54c390$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.61942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Yes34c377.74$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.41353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+61.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No61c376.66$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.791,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No42c363.81$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.981,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes58c344.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20031745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc046…f138backed Yes59c339.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed No69c335.25$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.282445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed No29c322.58$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.033348.5%16 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+56.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No45c315$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Yes60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes52c280$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.67047.1%33 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No44c277$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1221349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcedd…10d6backed Yes56c271.32$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No45c266$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.382,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No44c259.41$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.271,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No40c251.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.827763.6%49 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2219…a5e9backed Yes58c250$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0bd…bc96backed Yes43c229.58$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Yes43c225.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes57c219.01$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.631,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No44c193.94$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.899741.2%40 W · 57 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes50c184.91$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2363657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9c8…5312backed Yes54c181.72$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.131457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No29c179.49$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4416051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x983c…dd56backed Yes71c178.85$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.841947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaec0…9430backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes60c174.55$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.737034.3%24 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed Yes56c173$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.882045%9 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10076951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes47c170.93$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9594848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked Yes49c170$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa969…70d7backed Yes59c168$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes56c154.43$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1410331.1%32 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No44c144$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0978756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No45c142.24$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9125044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No38c139.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.171,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b6b…280bbacked No41c139.88$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.18560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No44c137.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.782,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No44c127.3$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2916653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No32c126$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.189846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6297…1302backed Yes56c117.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Yes49c110.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.