TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,442

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,181 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d95…fe91backed Yes79c9,513$7,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.672070%14 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No19c7,771$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.392,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Yes77c7,662$5,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.8111855.1%65 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No25c3,679$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.7216647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes77c2,597$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.413257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No23c2,223$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.271,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No23c2,106$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.782,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No43c1,488$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.4882434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf80f…34a9backed No18c1,443$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.194553.3%24 W · 21 L+7.5wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed No7c1,379$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9210649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No40c1,303$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.1527133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Yes77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.7366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick77cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8817…cda8backed No18c1,204$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.544831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed No23c1,084$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.319641.7%40 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No23c1,048$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.0327549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed No19c926.95$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6821538.1%82 W · 133 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No23c786$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.783,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No3c782.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8514530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No23c776.11$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8842250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes77c728.52$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.525646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No23c697.44$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.413,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e35…29a3backed Yes74c678.82$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+45.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No23c671.48$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.771,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes79c636.53$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7123254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No17c542.06$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8219953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No13c542.02$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3218338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No40c539.34$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.381,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae43…f595backed Yes47c505.2$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed No24c417$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.083836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No45c400.29$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.181,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No27c399.97$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9912741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No20c377$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4120055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No12c344.89$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.391,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No40c327.16$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9924665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No23c310.94$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.521,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes71c299.99$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No23c290$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.78,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked No12c284.12$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.227328.8%21 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Yes71c279.29$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.375070%35 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9716262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Yes77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.74366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No24c224.58$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.841,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d7…ad2bbacked No8c222.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed No26c218.89$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563560%21 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda25…abafbacked Yes76c207.34$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.585867.2%39 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes67c189.01$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1536339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5717440.2%70 W · 104 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No14c169.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0344843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes73c161.85$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.024141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No13c158.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3226745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No18c156.18$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5815247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed No35c150.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.713348.5%16 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+56.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51675%12 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde7…89ebbacked Yes71c140.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked Yes74c135.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.991050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca5…2f7cbacked Yes77c133.27$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No37c122.12$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5429362.5%183 W · 110 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No28c120$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.626749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes64c119.39$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3637540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Yes79c112$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.924951%25 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No21c110.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.189846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed No11c106.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2513748.9%67 W · 70 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db1…2941backed Yes56c102.43$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+83.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No27c99.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5867548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No25c97.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2670055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bcb…374bbacked Yes77c88.61$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.381963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+39.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No26c85.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2710157.4%58 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes66c85.07$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2816864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No25c76.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.421640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1382…6f15backed Yes76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.79988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed No26c62.61$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.566232.3%20 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5342…1e20backed Yes80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f0…00c7backed Yes79c58.46$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.46475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked No27c52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+19.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.578756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dd…7af9backed No20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf129…1edcbacked No38c49.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.882931%9 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-48.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Yes68c49$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.776762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes76c48.15$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.551,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ba…2404backed Yes77c48$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.042951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes75c48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9516453.7%88 W · 76 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed Yes73c39.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.582653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa574…0559backed Yes77c35.07$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.132669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+41.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d8a…c409backed No42c31.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6046…afc3backed Yes76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked No47c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6316845.2%76 W · 92 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab77…be6abacked Yes73c28.79$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.791668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea1…6072backed Yes73c27.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-34.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5649…e5bebacked Yes76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.324858.3%28 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes76c20.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9720142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbdc…826ebacked Yes72c19.37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Yes55c18.89$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.56149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe274…dc85backed Yes73c16.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.382458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.