TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,020
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,390

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,020 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed No70c7,798$5,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,457.242,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes64c4,993$3,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.456944.9%31 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed No34c4,500$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5308444%37 W · 47 L+11.9wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+23.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes20c4,100$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,295.4943618.8%82 W · 354 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes19c3,053$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,472.634738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes40c2,927$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.4516647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes19c2,599$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,110.182,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes42c2,412$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.4330048%144 W · 156 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No39c2,237$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.541,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes72c2,043$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.748447.6%40 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d95…fe91backed Yes64c1,986$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.262070%14 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Yes19c1,600$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2968343.4%36 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No46c1,267$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.261,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes41c1,223$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.3911565.2%75 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes69c999.99$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3105851.7%30 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked No80c981.26$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick64cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes19c836.79$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.812541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No70c815.37$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.431,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No56c806.46$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9182434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6871…e9dcbacked Yes25c800$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed No75c756$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes42c733$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.842722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No21c727.3$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1313451.5%69 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa59…d4cebacked Yes19c628.57$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.14650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+60.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No38c591$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.731,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x456a…6a90backed No80c577.84$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No79c572.98$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.821,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes26c568.88$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.7226745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004850%24 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked Yes19c493.95$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.14141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No46c484.42$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.7436339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.193831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes28c439.27$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.8935046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No44c437.57$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9537540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.546753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes36c418.8$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.6950643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes18c400$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32812741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda49…5307backed Yes19c377.84$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.051136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes22c347$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.7157540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes23c323$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.9420022.5%45 W · 155 L-13.1wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No28c313.66$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3125044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed No6c294.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.674429.5%13 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd85b…a848backed Yes35c288.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+107.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9797…94fdbacked No17c283.93$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked No79c263$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.77650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Yes41c246.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.152944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57c9…30e7backed Yes21c238.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc20…2d0dbacked Yes44c227.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed No80c202.52$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.441729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-51%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1b8b…8cb3backed Yes19c194.37$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.445143.1%22 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No80c178.35$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.684452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No64c177.54$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.991,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x492f…bc51backed Yes71c173.96$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.96887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick71cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73f6…e559backed No61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-73.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No14c163.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4415247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No27c151.03$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5741145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No41c142.09$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.631,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed No61c134.43$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-40.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes68c128$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.032544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No80c120$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9626749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No14c120$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.89710.3%10 W · 87 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5ca…fcb1backed Yes42c101.77$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No76c100$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed No25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-64.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa299…ac77backed Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7812348%59 W · 64 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8328…feb3backed Yes42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Yes21c88.83$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1819953.3%106 W · 93 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6f7…cf2ebacked Yes21c86.43$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+380.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Yes70c80.84$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.254740.4%19 W · 28 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ec…186dbacked Yes25c79.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2102…087dbacked Yes19c78.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.953941%16 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes22c76.19$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6121844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf21a…e5e6backed Yes20c75.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+151%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f99…5936backed Yes20c75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+227.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d3f…c7f3backed No61c73.72$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.891833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes22c73.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6227133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d41…6c30backed Yes62c72.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.78475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No75c70$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.54027.5%11 W · 29 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa1f4…2df9backed Yes72c69.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.62955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fed…7dffbacked No50c68.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.52728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes28c68.04$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0412535.2%44 W · 81 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.822263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f70…133ebacked Yes66c56.44$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.19650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No75c53.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1210157.4%58 W · 43 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes72c51.32$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3711657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes39c51.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.26814.7%10 W · 58 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No80c51$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.817255.2%95 W · 77 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe32…0300backed Yes26c48.96$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.231346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No53c47.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3594848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes72c44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.321942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No47c40.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9221640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b6b…280bbacked No71c39.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.43560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No52c38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.758252.4%43 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes75c35.95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.111,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked No79c35.42$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.931464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce5…a07fbacked No56c31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.362646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4284…4e8cbacked No34c29.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-53.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb7a…5a89backed No52c28.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+31.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1710966.1%72 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.