South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Flamengo vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d99487627d500c3b4388a50e870f5fabab3233ce501c31f82978f96d8db878c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 2,086$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 27c | 658.91$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.36 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 72c | 635.83$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.42 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 24c | 588.47$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.26 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 567.01$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 74c | 522.74$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.52 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 24c | 410$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 79c | 374.12$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…6ca4backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 5c | 329.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 36c | 323.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.45 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Yes | 31c | 315.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 72c | 290.72$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 71c | 289.52$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 70c | 274.38$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 6c | 267.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 76c | 265.4$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 260.79$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 75c | 207.78$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c51…8001backed Yes | 30c | 181.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes | 28c | 178.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…f627backed Yes | 28c | 178.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes | 28c | 178.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa59…d4cebacked Yes | 28c | 158.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 21c | 147.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 135$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…8fd0backed Yes | 22c | 121.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 66c | 106.07$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…cb26backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes | 30c | 97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked No | 70c | 77.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 78c | 77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 38c | 71.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 16c | 69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes | 38c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -51%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 80c | 40.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 76c | 39.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 72c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…d60dbacked Yes | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 76c | 35.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 30c | 33.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 72c | 32.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 32.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 37c | 30.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 38c | 29.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 77c | 22.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 77c | 20.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 71c | 16.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…fc6dbacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6b…280bbacked No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Flamengo vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-23?No won
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.