South American Leagues · resolved market
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18e4cd375afd22f819964d1e1107d1fcdccf50e1e9694f31e74e27bd1216c86d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x912a…2e6abacked Yes | 53c | 30,088$15,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,872.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 58c | 23,791$13,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,750.18 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 26c | 6,488$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,788.03 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 44c | 5,517$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.96 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 43c | 5,129$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,922 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 31c | 4,797$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,295.61 | 124 | 34.7%43 W · 81 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed No | 22c | 4,490$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.92 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 46c | 4,197$1,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.54 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 21c | 3,675$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.24 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 48c | 3,600$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…4d49backed Yes | 71c | 3,512$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 65c | 3,322$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.6 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 47c | 3,200$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 33c | 3,140$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.15 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed No | 27c | 2,782$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.18 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 60c | 2,540$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.34 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 47c | 2,400$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 69c | 2,242$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.63 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 38c | 2,042$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.16 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 43c | 1,950$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.06 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…6aaabacked Yes | 57c | 1,890$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.19 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 44c | 1,814$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.84 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d95…fe91backed No | 46c | 1,777$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.18 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 43c | 1,702$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.06 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 44c | 1,659$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.37 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 74c | 1,568$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.93 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 1,532$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.91 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 24c | 1,450$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.95 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 79c | 1,390$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.84 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 67c | 1,275$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.62 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 43c | 1,219$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.83 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 43c | 1,215$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.45 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 65c | 1,201$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.64 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 28c | 1,189$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.94 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 47c | 1,184$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.52 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,155$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 79c | 1,098$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.42 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 27c | 1,053$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.76 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 63c | 1,029$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.71 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fa…a23dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Yes | 4c | 972.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…fa81backed Yes | 66c | 972.19$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.32 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 22c | 909.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.49 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 21c | 908.03$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.25 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked No | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 66c | 848.22$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.15 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 46c | 846$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.63 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Yes | 79c | 842.68$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 42c | 824.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.55 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 51c | 780.76$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.19 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 68c | 703.59$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.07 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 654.79$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.87 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31f3…0eacbacked No | 43c | 621.6$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.31 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…4662backed Yes | 57c | 588$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 59c | 577.74$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.52 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 47c | 520$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.6 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 47c | 520$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.6 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 47c | 508.35$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.43 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes | 57c | 499.67$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.81 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 62c | 473.62$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.9 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…5c3ebacked Yes | 66c | 473.38$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.77 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 57c | 452.2$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed Yes | 57c | 410.42$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.94 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 48c | 399.97$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.99 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 43c | 392$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.84 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 44c | 390.97$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.94 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…66b3backed No | 48c | 385.56$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.49 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…3d6fbacked Yes | 76c | 384.39$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 34c | 372.93$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.12 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked No | 47c | 329.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Yes | 77c | 325.05$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Yes | 78c | 320.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 47c | 320$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.6 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 47c | 312$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.36 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 47c | 312$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.36 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 52c | 304.68$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.3 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 46c | 296.58$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.77 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 47c | 280$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f6…e517backed Yes | 80c | 269.21$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.11 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 49c | 256.12$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.5 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 30c | 245.32$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.27 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 25c | 211.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.86 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Yes | 11c | 199.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed No | 49c | 196$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…1c3fbacked No | 48c | 192.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…9648backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-23?this page
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-23?No won
- Will São Paulo FC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.