TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,045

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,947 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a22…7b00backed No78c8,922$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No71c4,138$2,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.375662.5%35 W · 21 L+7.2wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes24c3,081$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.7810020%20 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f9d…ab79backed Yes16c2,912$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-81%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed Yes27c2,106$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.095635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No73c2,022$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.515757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No76c1,710$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.511250%56 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes14c1,703$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.437944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a29…90efbacked Yes24c1,696$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Yes22c1,688$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.044136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes26c1,566$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.556410.9%7 W · 57 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31a1…1227backed Yes20c1,499$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes22c1,115$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.246732.8%22 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No67c1,069$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.2314458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb29…fb86backed Yes21c1,007$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04c9…f1fabacked Yes21c888$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.481533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes23c787.56$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.122334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes38c780.9$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005418.5%10 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5de…cabebacked Yes28c750$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes22c680.05$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5810837%40 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd723…25bfbacked Yes28c660.22$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.861040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9372…3b1abacked No69c653.14$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.263956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No79c640.48$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.173151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes24c640.22$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.031926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ada…62f7backed Yes31c609.31$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-45.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64a7…2133backed Yes26c570.72$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.142718.5%5 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes11c543.09$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.397545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8840…f51abacked Yes2c533.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No68c505.81$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.0211266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked No63c472.46$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.463030%9 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes26c468$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.582254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+144.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc7e7…40b4backed Yes19c467.4$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.841030%3 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed No70c463.3$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.649165.9%60 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3dca…3c13backed Yes24c449.37$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102040%8 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+52.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes28c413$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.918127.2%22 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3255…c6c7backed Yes37c396.98$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.882528%7 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No75c368.05$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.643271.9%23 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5c…3589backed Yes27c365.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf295…0335backed Yes28c358.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes26c305$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.35619.6%11 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8e12…0ea4backed Yes28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f15…f295backed Yes16c246.83$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No73c235.32$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.693467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes21c225.66$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1110652.8%56 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes27c216$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.327950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb491…4400backed Yes6c203.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8100%0 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b2f…8a03backed Yes10c203.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf787…1b63backed Yes39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-49.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4824720.6%51 W · 196 L-0.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0da…c1fbbacked Yes28c188.5$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x747c…443bbacked Yes25c175.46$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.122846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed No73c155.64$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.481250%6 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+75.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe4c…29f7backed Yes24c144.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes11c139.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.611845.8%54 W · 64 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes40c138.42$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.879333.3%31 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d5…0789backed No79c136.49$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.26850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a65…50e1backed Yes26c134.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8373…f0bcbacked No64c128$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc7a…ad52backed No63c126.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeece…ee6fbacked Yes14c126.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.75616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-56.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302524%6 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a08…c2e6backed No63c117.5$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.47250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0633…355abacked Yes26c112.31$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8231…22e4backed Yes45c108.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.282528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4571…7904backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No54c90$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.41770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+54.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x22df…ed56backed Yes24c79.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.09837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb6a…56a8backed Yes39c76.92$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Yes25c76.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192927.6%8 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+39.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd121…7138backed Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b54…163abacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x64a8…7719backed No67c71.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.551752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x205e…8951backed Yes51c71.08$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed Yes29c69.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f1d…cc01backed No67c68.33$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.553100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes26c68.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.012642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8205…5067backed Yes23c67.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+54.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x171f…7dd0backed Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-68.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed No73c62.35$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.951181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick69cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe97d…e635backed Yes33c58.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ef…eb67backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa551…e050backed No73c55.56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18ed…590abacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478f…e43cbacked Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137115.5%11 W · 60 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3eb3…7133backed Yes38c49.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+43.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No65c47.91$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.771872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+80.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No74c47.23$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.234852.1%25 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked No66c43.34$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7411547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x312c…ceecbacked No75c40.68$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.171250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa1…dc77backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102030%6 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62969%20 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7632…7a11backed Yes26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2208…6238backed Yes53c37.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7389…9b89backed No79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.33100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a7f…32abbacked Yes40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x628a…6d8fbacked No78c25.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.711154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d22…299fbacked No80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.