F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4e3b496c3fc4787fa8bf353914ca955d475a60296fe80624ad180f1aab3f9ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 35c | 8,181$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,316.85 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 17c | 4,535$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,767.73 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…45acbacked Yes | 12c | 2,994$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.42 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…438dbacked Yes | 27c | 2,915$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.68 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 16c | 2,001$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,533$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.6 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 26c | 1,162$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.67 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 21c | 1,073$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.04 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a29…90efbacked Yes | 35c | 1,064$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.96 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…0335backed Yes | 28c | 897.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.94 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 6c | 800$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 79c | 794.66$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.57 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes | 6c | 619.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.1 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 8c | 598.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.29 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…706fbacked Yes | 17c | 591.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.72 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Yes | 17c | 588.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.52 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c9…f1fabacked Yes | 15c | 587.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.73 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Yes | 18c | 551.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf008…81a6backed Yes | 18c | 536.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9384…e025backed Yes | 19c | 515.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…7285backed Yes | 19c | 510.48$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.48 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 10c | 500$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.5 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…bc1dbacked Yes | 12c | 486.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.23 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Yes | 12c | 471.29$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.26 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dca…3c13backed Yes | 16c | 445.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.15 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…2ce6backed Yes | 8c | 422.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.29 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…cabebacked Yes | 30c | 420.41$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.41 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 11c | 402.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.07 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Yes | 6c | 355.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.93 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Yes | 38c | 345$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.62 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 4c | 342$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.64 | 59 | 1.7%1 W · 58 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 22c | 319.72$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.32 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Yes | 19c | 302.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.45 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 48c | 290$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed Yes | 7c | 282.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.2 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb9…f582backed Yes | 18c | 280.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 7c | 253.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +220.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…497dbacked Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…ccf3backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 22c | 201$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.48 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 7c | 193.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.32 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 24c | 188.37$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.37 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 45c | 157.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 22c | 155.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.38 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 12c | 148.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.69 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 64c | 148.82$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 78c | 140$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…8384backed Yes | 24c | 122.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes | 16c | 120$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +145%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 24c | 118.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…3589backed Yes | 18c | 112.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 75c | 109.68$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…8ba8backed Yes | 17c | 108$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +495.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…80b6backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 24c | 103.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.59 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435e…f153backed Yes | 25c | 100.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +303.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ef…eb67backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 50c | 87.26$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +64%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 62c | 83.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e18…7bb9backed Yes | 25c | 81.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.34 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 14c | 78.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 44c | 74.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…2ea0backed Yes | 20c | 68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Yes | 27c | 67.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 71c | 62.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898d…261dbacked Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeece…ee6fbacked Yes | 38c | 51.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…8a03backed Yes | 30c | 49.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 30c | 42.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…858abacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked Yes | 69c | 36.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5a…0296backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.