Asian League · resolved market
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf766a67fd5e9b34dc059cbac8855f254b946e1176cca0ab266e8e39dd97fd40f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 1,364$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.71 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,173$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.63 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 19c | 1,166$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.97 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 32c | 999.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 29c | 777$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.33 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 70c | 643.64$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.01 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Yes | 29c | 503.45$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 482.87$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.79 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 29c | 340$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 70c | 314.02$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.21 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 68c | 284.41$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 283.99$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 68c | 260$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 201.75$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.51 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…eff6backed Yes | 28c | 168.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 74c | 167.23$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 68c | 147.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f42…0524backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ef…eb67backed Yes | 30c | 133.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 71c | 121.02$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed No | 73c | 117.22$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Yes | 31c | 106.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 68c | 98.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 31c | 79.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 61c | 69.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 69c | 63.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 63c | 62.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 72c | 50.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…ef22backed Yes | 39c | 50.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 28c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…1349backed No | 74c | 47.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…bf38backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 73c | 42.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 30c | 39.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 29c | 38.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 29c | 38.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 34c | 36.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5899…4623backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…a31dbacked Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 70c | 28.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 21.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…c446backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 72c | 19.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 79c | 18.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-16?this page
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.