Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cc5bd2252ea9e377dd85851b360de3ea2b9939e0f8d1d4da15410359b8171c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof LGD Gaming, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $523,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $608,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $523,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed 1win | 80c | 50,088$39,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,243.45 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed LGD Gaming | 33c | 44,999$14,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,864.57 | 471 | 46.1%217 W · 254 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 60c | 41,724$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,723.53 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked LGD Gaming | 36c | 30,482$11,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,113.58 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked LGD Gaming | 30c | 25,000$7,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,509.65 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked LGD Gaming | 28c | 17,472$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.99 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed 1win | 63c | 17,099$10,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,335.79 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 1win | 79c | 15,319$12,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.06 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed LGD Gaming | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed LGD Gaming | 38c | 9,558$3,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,643.31 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed LGD Gaming | 19c | 8,028$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.2 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed LGD Gaming | 18c | 8,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked LGD Gaming | 39c | 6,681$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,636.3 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LGD Gaming | 39c | 6,644$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.11 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed 1win | 67c | 5,925$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960.26 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 1win | 67c | 5,307$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.96 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked 1win | 61c | 5,198$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.22 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked LGD Gaming | 31c | 4,888$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.02 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked LGD Gaming | 41c | 4,687$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.72 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed LGD Gaming | 40c | 4,611$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.86 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed 1win | 78c | 4,604$3,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.69 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked LGD Gaming | 39c | 4,540$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.52 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 1win | 77c | 4,531$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.14 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed 1win | 62c | 4,075$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.7 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…db43backed 1win | 68c | 4,060$2,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.03 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…4dedbacked 1win | 62c | 4,004$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.42 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 1win | 72c | 4,000$2,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.9 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked 1win | 60c | 3,923$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.48 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed LGD Gaming | 19c | 3,500$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…0308backed 1win | 62c | 3,398$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.24 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked 1win | 62c | 3,300$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed 1win | 65c | 3,108$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.34 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed 1win | 64c | 3,032$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.67 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed 1win | 60c | 3,014$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.23 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 1win | 64c | 3,000$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.76 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed LGD Gaming | 42c | 2,927$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.98 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked LGD Gaming | 33c | 2,858$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.33 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed LGD Gaming | 43c | 2,762$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed 1win | 63c | 2,502$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.04 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed LGD Gaming | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed LGD Gaming | 35c | 2,351$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed 1win | 62c | 2,250$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.25 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked 1win | 63c | 2,196$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.74 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed 1win | 62c | 2,143$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.97 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed LGD Gaming | 12c | 2,100$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed LGD Gaming | 36c | 2,032$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.6 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed LGD Gaming | 30c | 2,031$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.82 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 1win | 74c | 2,006$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.56 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed LGD Gaming | 38c | 2,003$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.14 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked 1win | 66c | 1,711$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.37 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked LGD Gaming | 37c | 1,698$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.4 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed 1win | 62c | 1,673$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.74 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed 1win | 62c | 1,643$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.09 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed LGD Gaming | 39c | 1,621$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.51 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked LGD Gaming | 37c | 1,620$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.39 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2d…5c89backed 1win | 63c | 1,591$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.74 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked LGD Gaming | 18c | 1,500$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed LGD Gaming | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed LGD Gaming | 38c | 1,492$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.9 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8a…f907backed 1win | 62c | 1,485$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.3 | 141 | 36.9%52 W · 89 L | -13.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…e5aebacked 1win | 62c | 1,471$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.04 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked LGD Gaming | 37c | 1,400$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed 1win | 63c | 1,347$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.34 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 1win | 72c | 1,288$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.19 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed LGD Gaming | 38c | 1,250$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LGD Gaming | 34c | 1,243$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.71 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…4a0bbacked 1win | 61c | 1,215$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.85 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed LGD Gaming | 41c | 1,211$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.5 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked 1win | 50c | 1,179$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.56 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked LGD Gaming | 40c | 1,121$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.49 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed LGD Gaming | 42c | 1,088$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.9 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbda…d2c0backed 1win | 56c | 1,043$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.64 | 108 | 70.4%76 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…e603backed 1win | 70c | 1,040$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed LGD Gaming | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed 1win | 71c | 1,001$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.22 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed 1win | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed LGD Gaming | 40c | 1,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed LGD Gaming | 26c | 1,000$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.01 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed LGD Gaming | 24c | 999.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 1win | 62c | 989.85$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.81 | 878 | 38.3%336 W · 542 L | -42.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed LGD Gaming | 38c | 984.93$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.42 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…89ebbacked LGD Gaming | 2c | 900$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed LGD Gaming | 21c | 895.58$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.38 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb9…be64backed 1win | 76c | 893.43$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 1win | 65c | 887.26$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.51 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf897…8453backed 1win | 61c | 839.32$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.73 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…f30fbacked 1win | 61c | 810$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.9 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed 1win | 66c | 808.27$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.27 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed 1win | 59c | 808.22$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.37 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked LGD Gaming | 2c | 767.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked LGD Gaming | 16c | 765.28$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.14 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LGD Gaming | 36c | 759.09$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.87 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed LGD Gaming | 40c | 719$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.6 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed LGD Gaming | 20c | 709.8$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed 1win | 61c | 705.56$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.68 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked LGD Gaming | 40c | 699.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed LGD Gaming | 17c | 666.66$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.21 | 371 | 46.4%172 W · 199 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed 1win | 61c | 648$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.22 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed LGD Gaming | 41c | 600.56$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.59 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed 1win | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs1win won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.