Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb54d2c83411311e6f5c6ae29a50298ecfa538e8159c2a088303ba42b6f44b75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof LGD Gaming, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 60c | 21,735$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,734.63 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0993…525fbacked LGD Gaming | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed LGD Gaming | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.99 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed LGD Gaming | 39c | 6,162$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.08 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked LGD Gaming | 39c | 2,983$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.37 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed LGD Gaming | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.98 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed 1win | 62c | 2,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.97 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed 1win | 67c | 1,956$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.11 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed 1win | 59c | 1,617$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.97 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed LGD Gaming | 40c | 1,611$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.04 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed 1win | 60c | 1,488$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.24 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed LGD Gaming | 18c | 1,410$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.8 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…4281backed 1win | 59c | 1,127$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.24 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed 1win | 59c | 1,050$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.5 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked 1win | 58c | 1,050$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked 1win | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked LGD Gaming | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed LGD Gaming | 40c | 978.15$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.58 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked LGD Gaming | 29c | 942.14$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.98 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…92c5backed 1win | 61c | 940$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.6 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed LGD Gaming | 18c | 925.97$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked LGD Gaming | 39c | 899.37$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed 1win | 62c | 794$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.48 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2f…d8c2backed LGD Gaming | 41c | 788.9$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked LGD Gaming | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked LGD Gaming | 42c | 721.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed 1win | 61c | 714.71$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.71 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…0bedbacked LGD Gaming | 39c | 712.01$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.19 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…971abacked 1win | 62c | 709.68$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.68 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x179b…2b82backed 1win | 62c | 645.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.32 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LGD Gaming | 26c | 644.95$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.39 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked 1win | 64c | 563$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.68 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked LGD Gaming | 40c | 549.01$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.26 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed LGD Gaming | 37c | 546$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.84 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed 1win | 60c | 537.01$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.77 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed 1win | 61c | 528.03$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.03 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed LGD Gaming | 39c | 515.63$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.1 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…5667backed 1win | 59c | 489.99$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…889fbacked 1win | 58c | 429.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.55 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed 1win | 62c | 422.7$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.05 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…5dc6backed 1win | 58c | 407.48$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.14 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked LGD Gaming | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed LGD Gaming | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed LGD Gaming | 42c | 348.67$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.44 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked LGD Gaming | 40c | 339.27$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.71 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed 1win | 59c | 336.13$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.81 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…111abacked 1win | 61c | 320$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked 1win | 62c | 315.22$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked 1win | 59c | 301.94$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed LGD Gaming | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed LGD Gaming | 17c | 267.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked 1win | 62c | 255.36$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed 1win | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 426 | 60.1%256 W · 170 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed 1win | 57c | 242$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.06 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed LGD Gaming | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed LGD Gaming | 17c | 223.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed 1win | 60c | 218.1$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed LGD Gaming | 41c | 207.4$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed LGD Gaming | 41c | 207.32$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed 1win | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked 1win | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked LGD Gaming | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked 1win | 59c | 196.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed 1win | 59c | 189.83$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed LGD Gaming | 40c | 168.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed LGD Gaming | 39c | 166$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed 1win | 62c | 164.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.46 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed LGD Gaming | 43c | 164$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed LGD Gaming | 38c | 149.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked LGD Gaming | 39c | 146.89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked LGD Gaming | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked LGD Gaming | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed LGD Gaming | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed LGD Gaming | 27c | 127.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked 1win | 60c | 104.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked LGD Gaming | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked LGD Gaming | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked LGD Gaming | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked LGD Gaming | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed LGD Gaming | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked LGD Gaming | 37c | 99.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21b…36bbbacked 1win | 64c | 93.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…c849backed LGD Gaming | 41c | 90.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed LGD Gaming | 40c | 89.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 175 | 37.1%65 W · 110 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c12…3d4cbacked 1win | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…b43bbacked LGD Gaming | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 169 | 42.6%72 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed LGD Gaming | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d0…6cbabacked LGD Gaming | 40c | 78.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed 1win | 61c | 77.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed LGD Gaming | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed LGD Gaming | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked LGD Gaming | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2799…b1e1backed LGD Gaming | 41c | 76.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked 1win | 60c | 72.39$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed 1win | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 235 | 62.1%146 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed 1win | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed 1win | 61c | 63.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 1win | 60c | 63.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83e5…91d6backed LGD Gaming | 26c | 55.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked LGD Gaming | 40c | 54.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winner1win won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winner1win won
- Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.