Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22fe711dc54cd31d3a394395abe887d103615a45b0accf8ee3317560c66ecb18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 1winof LGD Gaming, 1win
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $814,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $841,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $814,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2391…554fbacked LGD Gaming | 0c | 554,276$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.88 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed 1win | 57c | 47,169$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,169.23 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed 1win | 70c | 19,744$13,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,910.3 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed 1win | 57c | 17,500$9,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,525 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked LGD Gaming | 33c | 12,148$3,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,993.68 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed LGD Gaming | 43c | 11,816$5,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,080.91 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked LGD Gaming | 40c | 11,734$4,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,676.2 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked 1win | 59c | 10,010$5,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,054.18 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed LGD Gaming | 40c | 8,792$3,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.27 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LGD Gaming | 46c | 7,295$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331.73 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked LGD Gaming | 39c | 6,869$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.26 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed LGD Gaming | 7c | 5,510$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.8 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed 1win | 71c | 4,695$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,346.64 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked LGD Gaming | 30c | 4,531$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.4 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked LGD Gaming | 28c | 4,252$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.3 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked LGD Gaming | 8c | 4,087$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.3 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked LGD Gaming | 13c | 3,000$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.92 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da8…28e1backed LGD Gaming | 9c | 2,655$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.46 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed 1win | 57c | 2,558$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.85 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eea…1a4cbacked LGD Gaming | 20c | 2,370$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.36 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed LGD Gaming | 18c | 2,333$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed 1win | 56c | 2,250$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.61 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed LGD Gaming | 36c | 2,205$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.1 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed 1win | 47c | 2,083$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.01 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed LGD Gaming | 39c | 2,000$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked LGD Gaming | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed 1win | 76c | 1,980$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 186 | 60.8%113 W · 73 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed LGD Gaming | 36c | 1,886$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.32 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed 1win | 60c | 1,781$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.31 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed LGD Gaming | 41c | 1,774$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.31 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked 1win | 69c | 1,699$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.93 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed 1win | 58c | 1,685$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.55 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked LGD Gaming | 11c | 1,682$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.97 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 1win | 63c | 1,540$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.56 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked LGD Gaming | 29c | 1,527$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.96 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed LGD Gaming | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed LGD Gaming | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked LGD Gaming | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed 1win | 62c | 1,461$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.96 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed 1win | 59c | 1,411$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.4 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked LGD Gaming | 27c | 1,287$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed LGD Gaming | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed LGD Gaming | 41c | 1,195$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.95 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed LGD Gaming | 43c | 1,164$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed LGD Gaming | 26c | 1,073$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed LGD Gaming | 27c | 1,066$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.82 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LGD Gaming | 10c | 1,020$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed LGD Gaming | 49c | 1,000$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.47 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed LGD Gaming | 38c | 1,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd953…a9c0backed LGD Gaming | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed LGD Gaming | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed 1win | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked LGD Gaming | 37c | 976.16$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.91 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked LGD Gaming | 23c | 968.44$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.74 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed LGD Gaming | 13c | 968.13$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked LGD Gaming | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed LGD Gaming | 35c | 941.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.7 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked 1win | 78c | 904$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.39 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed LGD Gaming | 40c | 865.64$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.47 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…7da3backed 1win | 79c | 854$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed 1win | 72c | 836.64$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.67 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked 1win | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…1e84backed LGD Gaming | 12c | 811.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed 1win | 58c | 783.55$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.74 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed LGD Gaming | 40c | 779.98$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 1win | 63c | 672.41$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.81 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked LGD Gaming | 4c | 640$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked LGD Gaming | 43c | 636.93$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.33 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed LGD Gaming | 26c | 631.5$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed LGD Gaming | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed 1win | 78c | 565.37$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.18 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…6be1backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 542.15$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.81 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 1win | 76c | 521.66$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.25 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed LGD Gaming | 40c | 515.76$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.3 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LGD Gaming | 21c | 505.44$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed LGD Gaming | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.9 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked 1win | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed 1win | 61c | 491.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.81 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed 1win | 60c | 466.67$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed 1win | 57c | 432.43$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.99 | 252 | 66.3%167 W · 85 L | +20.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked LGD Gaming | 28c | 417.86$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed 1win | 77c | 404.65$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked LGD Gaming | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x179b…2b82backed 1win | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed LGD Gaming | 45c | 386.2$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed 1win | 78c | 386.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked 1win | 57c | 370$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.1 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed 1win | 80c | 358.77$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed LGD Gaming | 44c | 346.42$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.43 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LGD Gaming | 36c | 341.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.42 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked LGD Gaming | 41c | 338.34$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.72 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked LGD Gaming | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed 1win | 74c | 289.66$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.97 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed 1win | 51c | 272.98$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.76 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…465abacked 1win | 78c | 247.98$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed 1win | 60c | 223.85$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked LGD Gaming | 45c | 223.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…480abacked LGD Gaming | 26c | 213.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3a…269fbacked 1win | 61c | 211.36$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x015f…d051backed LGD Gaming | 42c | 207.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs1win won
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winner1win won
- Game Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)1win won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.