Tennis · resolved market
Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd039f0945d7260c7619855e71654d92749520277ecdb77032b4c4d1ac7645644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sho Shimabukuroof Sho Shimabukuro, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x772b…1840backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 5c | 5,491$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 38c | 4,449$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.03 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 1c | 4,118$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 22c | 3,023$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.57 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 58c | 2,937$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.62 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sho Shimabukuro | 57c | 2,467$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.62 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sho Shimabukuro | 59c | 2,009$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.41 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Sho Shimabukuro | 56c | 1,823$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.37 | 258 | 52.7%136 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 45c | 1,818$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.18 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Sho Shimabukuro | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 43c | 1,750$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.49 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…09efbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 10c | 1,640$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Sho Shimabukuro | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 207 | 49.8%103 W · 104 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 43c | 1,344$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.77 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Sho Shimabukuro | 57c | 1,204$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.72 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sho Shimabukuro | 74c | 1,188$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.19 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 780.18$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.3 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 14c | 719.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 7c | 708.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d4…8172backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 12c | 670$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.3 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 14c | 557.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 45c | 380.9$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.61 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffe…a60fbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 71c | 333.27$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.65 | 169 | 67.5%114 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Sho Shimabukuro | 68c | 325.04$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 735 | 58.6%431 W · 304 L | -26.1wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 63c | 316$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.12 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25f7…b16dbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 68c | 294.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.91 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 41c | 291.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 451 | 39%176 W · 275 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…3b5fbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 55c | 273.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.27 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 8c | 272.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…2482backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 35c | 271.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe3…c19abacked Sho Shimabukuro | 55c | 223.22$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 57c | 219.86$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 929 | 53.5%497 W · 432 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 22c | 208.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 8c | 204.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 32c | 200.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.14 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b96…cea8backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 16c | 199.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 24c | 199.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Sho Shimabukuro | 77c | 195.74$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 455 | 53%241 W · 214 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…8573backed Sho Shimabukuro | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…5c23backed Sho Shimabukuro | 56c | 157.38$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 482 | 58.1%280 W · 202 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…1029backed Sho Shimabukuro | 56c | 140.41$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 45c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 15c | 115$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 950 | 47.7%453 W · 497 L | +34.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d7…c129backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 12c | 114.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 53c | 100.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Sho Shimabukuro | 61c | 99.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 33c | 84.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 47c | 78.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 313 | 47.6%149 W · 164 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 45c | 73.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Sho Shimabukuro | 62c | 68.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 44c | 66.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 538 | 47%253 W · 285 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Sho Shimabukuro | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 313 | 55.3%173 W · 140 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 41c | 58.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 720 | 47.9%345 W · 375 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…4be3backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 45c | 54.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 29c | 53.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Sho Shimabukuro | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…7e54backed Sho Shimabukuro | 59c | 49.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 53c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 363 | 48.2%175 W · 188 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 37c | 45.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 439 | 47.2%207 W · 232 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…f00bbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 34c | 44.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…d405backed Sho Shimabukuro | 60c | 41.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 35c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,904 | 44.1%839 W · 1,065 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…c29fbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 64c | 37.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…cd21backed Sho Shimabukuro | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 550 | 59.1%325 W · 225 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4383…dbddbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 29c | 35.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Sho Shimabukuro | 68c | 33.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 443 | 63.4%281 W · 162 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…da40backed Sho Shimabukuro | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 370 | 60%222 W · 148 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 38c | 29.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Sho Shimabukuro | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 45c | 24.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 44c | 23.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Sho Shimabukuro | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 388 | 66.2%257 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Sho Shimabukuro | 70c | 20.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 1,120 | 56.5%633 W · 487 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…e4d0backed Sho Shimabukuro | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Sho Shimabukuro | 74c | 17.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadian Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Shimabukuro vs KjaerShimabukuro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.