Asian League · resolved market
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfda4dc4ab0888e71529df53f105a694de8ddeb7b331b20e4453851010a66f2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 63c | 476.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.49 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 37c | 469.68$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.02 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 177.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.85 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Over | 52c | 171.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 60c | 168$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 159.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed Over | 29c | 135$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 40c | 98.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 31c | 93.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 45c | 60.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 40.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x952c…be27backed Over | 60c | 29.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 39c | 29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Over | 69c | 28.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Under | 45c | 23.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 72c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…e4d0backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 0.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-1.5)Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC won
- Spread: FC Seoul (-2.5)Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)FC Seoul won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-2.5)FC Seoul won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.